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Sierra County, California

Wildfire risk in Sierra County: where it is highest, and why

Wildfire risk in Sierra County varies a lot by location. The overall scores run from 26.4 in Sierraville to 82.7 near Loyalton, with a county midpoint of 61.4.

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Sierra County — the largest fires on record, at their perimeter centres, with the county’s main communities. Select a marker for its detail.
At a glance

Half of Sierra County scores High or worse

We scored 154 points across Sierra County on the same 0–100 scale a Satelife address report uses, and they do not land in one place. 6% of them come out Very High, while 10% are Moderate. Which end your own parcel sits at is not something a county map can tell you.

Very High 6% · 10 of 154 points High 83% · 128 of 154 points Moderate 10% · 16 of 154 points
Safest end we measured 26.4 near Sierraville · Moderate
Middle of the county 61.4 High — half of Sierra County is above this
Most exposed end we measured 82.7 near Loyalton · Very High

And the federal models agree it is a fire county

Relatively Moderate FEMA National Risk Index — wildfire risk rating · index score 95.6 / 100
$3.5M / yr FEMA NRI — expected annual loss from wildfire · rated Relatively Moderate
1.48% USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities — mean annual burn probability · 90th-percentile cell 2.99%
11.23 ft USFS WRC — mean conditional flame length · 98% of the county carries burnable fuel

FEMA NRI also rates Sierra County: all-hazards risk Very Low · social vulnerability Relatively High · community resilience Relatively Low · annualised wildfire frequency 0.0154.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (Dec 2025), county record · USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0, mean of the grid cells inside the county. Both describe the county as a whole, never an address in it.

What does your Sierra County address score?

A county range shows the spread. Your parcel sits somewhere inside it — the report says where, and what to do about it.

Free to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan

Local context

What the data says about Sierra County

Most of the places we scored fall in the High tier. High has 128 points, compared with 16 in Moderate and 10 in Very High; none fell in Low.

FEMA’s National Risk Index rates Sierra County’s wildfire risk as Relatively Moderate, and its wildfire expected annual loss as Relatively Moderate. FEMA also rates the county’s all-hazards risk as Very Low, with social vulnerability Relatively High and community resilience Relatively Low.

Fire record

Where the fires actually were

Since 1984, Sierra County has had 59 recorded fire perimeters, and 135,782 acres have burned. That equals 22.2% of the county.

The largest fire listed is Cottonwood (1994), at 48,111 acres.

The most recent large fire is Bear (2024), at 3,323 acres. Another fire in the list, Elephant (2026), burned 13,930 acres and was partly in Sierra County.

59 mapped fire perimeters centred in the county since 1984
135,782 acres inside those perimeters since 1984
22.2% of the county's area, as a share of 2,475.1 km²
Bear 2024 most recent large fire on record
Named fires on record
  • Loyalton Fire202047,029 acres
  • Cottonwood Fire199448,111 acres
  • Donner Ridge Fire196043,374 acres
  • Mountain House Fire195918,522 acres
  • Elephant Fire202613,930 acres in totalcrossed into the county
  • Indian Fire19879,243 acres
  • Bear Fire20243,323 acres
  • Balls Canyon Fire20074,555 acres

Perimeter sources: NIFC Interagency Fire Perimeter History · WFIGS Interagency Perimeters · largest on record: Cottonwood 1994. Perimeters are simplified for display; acreage is the figure the source records.

Communities

Where in the county you are matters most

For local context, Loyalton (population 740) has a median wildfire risk score of 64.6. The county’s highest single scored location is also near Loyalton.

Downieville (61.4) and Sierra City (60.6) are close to each other and close to the county midpoint.

Sierraville comes in lower at 56.5, and it also includes some of the county’s lowest scored locations.

Loyalton village · 740 people
64.6 High
Downieville village
61.4 High
Sierra City village
60.6 High
Sierraville village
56.5 High

The score is the median of the sampled points nearest that community — a community-scale indicator, not a score for any individual property in it. Population comes from the community's own record where the source carries one.

Terrain & fuels

Terrain, vegetation and fuels

Terrain contributes to risk, but it varies in a tighter band than other factors in Sierra County. Terrain scores run from 55.0 near Sierraville to 65.0 near Downieville.

Vegetation and fuels vary more: 40.0 in Sierraville up to 80.0 near Loyalton, with a midpoint of 70.0.

Fire weather was not measured for Sierra County. What is measured includes hazard-zone scores, which are high in many locations, with a midpoint of 88.2.

Past-fire-pattern scores also vary widely, from 5.0 near Downieville to 95.0 near Loyalton.

55 median terrain score (max 65 near Downieville)
70 median vegetation & fuels score (max 80 near Loyalton)
Fire weather

Fire weather across Sierra County

Fire weather was not measured at the sampled points in Sierra County. The other four indicators on this page were, and the bars below show what they found.

What drives it

Which part of the risk moves, and which doesn't

Risk is not uniform across the county. The highest scored location is near Loyalton at 82.7, while the lowest is in Sierraville at 26.4.

Among named communities, Loyalton has the highest median score at 64.6. Downieville and Sierra City are close behind at 61.4 and 60.6.

Sierraville’s community median is 56.5, which is lower than the other listed communities but still within the county’s broader High-leaning pattern.

Each bar is what one part of the score covers across Sierra County, on the same 0–100 scale. A long bar is a part of the risk that depends on where you are; a short one is the same almost everywhere.

Terrain
55–65 highest near Downieville
Vegetation & fuels
40–80 highest near Loyalton
Hazard zone
10–93.8 highest near Downieville
Fire history
5–95 highest near Loyalton
Overall score
26.4–82.7 highest near Loyalton

The tick on each bar is the middle value. Tier boundaries — Moderate at 25, High at 50, Very High at 75 — are the faint lines behind them.

Show every number behind these bars
Layer Min Median Max Lowest place Highest place Points
Terrain 55 55 65 near Sierraville near Downieville 154
Vegetation & fuels 40 70 80 Sierraville near Loyalton 154
Hazard zone 10 88.2 93.8 Sierraville near Downieville 154
Fire history 5 20 95 near Downieville near Loyalton 154
Composite 26.4 61.4 82.7 Sierraville near Loyalton 154

Independently of Satelife's layers, the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities grid puts the county's mean annual burn probability at 1.48% (90th percentile cell: 2.99%), with a mean conditional flame length of 11.23 ft. 98% of the 25,697 grid cells inside the county carry burnable fuel at all.

Source: USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0 (ImageServer, county extent).

CAL FIRE has no mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone at 95 of the 154 sampled points — the zones cover Local Responsibility Areas, and most of this county is state or federal land. At 95 of them the USFS grid above supplied the hazard reading instead.

154 sample points on a ~2.3 km grid, plus one at the centre of each community, weighted with the Satelife county profile v1 · median layer coverage 90%. Scores are 0–100 and comparable within the county, not across states.

For a property

What a county range means for one address

For a property conversation, countywide patterns and the exact location both matter. In this county, most scored points are in the High tier, with smaller pockets in Very High and Moderate.

The USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities product shows a mean annual burn probability of 1.48%, and a 90th-percentile cell value of 2.99%.

That same USFS product indicates 98.3% of the county is in cells that can burn, with a mean conditional flame length of 11.23 feet.

Across 154 sampled points in Sierra County, the score runs from 26.4 to 82.7 — two neighbouring parcels can sit in different tiers. A county number is the middle of that spread; it says nothing about which end yours is at.

Find out where your Sierra County parcel sits

Slope, the fuel touching the structure, the road out, the fire history within a mile — measured at your address, not averaged across the county.

Free to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan

Coverage

ZIP codes we cover in Sierra County

Every one of the 20 ZIP areas that touch Sierra County — we run address-level reports in all of them. They are grouped by the median score of the points we sampled inside each, which is a neighbourhood-scale indicator and not a score for any property: two homes in the same ZIP routinely land in different tiers.

Grouped from 11 of 20 ZIP areas — the rest had no sample point fall inside them. The community shown is the nearest mapped place to the ZIP's centre.

ZIP areas are Census 2020 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas intersecting the county boundary.

Where to go next

Sierra County wildfire risk in context

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about Sierra County wildfire risk

How much of Sierra County has burned in recent decades?

Since 1984, 135,782 acres have burned within 59 mapped fire perimeters. That is 22.2% of the county.

What are the biggest and most recent large fires listed here?

The largest listed fire is Cottonwood (1994) at 48,111 acres. The most recent large fire is Bear (2024) at 3,323 acres.

Is wildfire risk the same in every community?

No. Scores range from 26.4 in Sierraville to 82.7 near Loyalton. Community medians also differ, from 56.5 in Sierraville to 64.6 in Loyalton.

Was fire weather measured across Sierra County?

No. Fire weather was not measured for Sierra County.

What does FEMA say about countywide wildfire risk?

FEMA’s National Risk Index rates Sierra County’s wildfire risk as Relatively Moderate, and its wildfire expected annual loss as Relatively Moderate.

This page is generated from a Sierra County data pack assembled on 2026-08-19 (pack v1.0). Scores are sampled across the county, not measured at any individual address, and are informational decision support — not a substitute for official evacuation orders, a fire-agency hazard determination, or an insurer's underwriting judgement. Data versions: fema_nri 1.20.0 (Dec 2025) · landfire per adapter · nifc_history All Years View · wfigs current · wrc v2.0 (2024) · zcta Census 2020.

What does your parcel look like, layer by layer?

A county range shows the spread. An address-level Satelife report shows where in that spread your property actually sits — PDF, per-layer score, and a prioritized mitigation plan.

Start with your address →