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Shasta County, California

Wildfire risk in Shasta County: where it is highest, and why

Across Shasta County, wildfire risk scores run from 20.0 in Cottonwood to 82.5 in unincorporated areas, with a county middle point of 66.5.

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Shasta County — the largest fires on record, at their perimeter centres, with the county’s main communities. Select a marker for its detail.
At a glance

Half of Shasta County scores High or worse

We scored 162 points across Shasta County on the same 0–100 scale a Satelife address report uses, and they do not land in one place. 18% of them come out Very High, while 1% are Low. Which end your own parcel sits at is not something a county map can tell you.

Very High 18% · 29 of 162 points High 73% · 119 of 162 points Moderate 8% · 13 of 162 points Low 1% · 1 of 162 points
Safest end we measured 20 near Cottonwood · Low
Middle of the county 66.5 High — half of Shasta County is above this
Most exposed end we measured 82.5 near unincorporated Shasta County · Very High

And the federal models agree it is a fire county

Relatively High FEMA National Risk Index — wildfire risk rating · index score 99.5 / 100
$35.4M / yr FEMA NRI — expected annual loss from wildfire · rated Relatively High
1.25% USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities — mean annual burn probability · 90th-percentile cell 2.89%
6.94 ft USFS WRC — mean conditional flame length · 98% of the county carries burnable fuel

FEMA NRI also rates Shasta County: all-hazards risk Relatively Moderate · social vulnerability Relatively Moderate · community resilience Relatively Moderate · annualised wildfire frequency 0.0088.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (Dec 2025), county record · USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0, mean of the grid cells inside the county. Both describe the county as a whole, never an address in it.

What does your Shasta County address score?

A county range shows the spread. Your parcel sits somewhere inside it — the report says where, and what to do about it.

Free to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan

Local context

What the data says about Shasta County

Most places we scored fell in the High tier: 119 points, compared with 29 in Very High and just 1 in Low.

Since 1984, 1,043,461 acres have burned, and 42.6% of the county has burned at least once. FEMA’s National Risk Index rates countywide wildfire risk as "Relatively High."

Fire record

Where the fires actually were

The largest fire for this county profile is the Carr Fire (2018), at 229,686 acres. The most recent large fire is Green (2025).

The Dixie Fire (2021) was 963,309 acres and was partly in Shasta County, showing how major regional fires can overlap county lines.

Where destruction counts are listed, the Carr Fire destroyed 1,614 structures, and the Zogg Fire (2020) destroyed 204.

The Jones Fire (1999) also had major structure loss, with 954 destroyed.

Carr Fire (2018) in Shasta County, California - The Carr Fire is a 2018 California wildfire that burned in Shasta and Trinity counties. Photo by Eric Coulter, BLM.
Carr Fire, 2018 — Shasta County. Photo: blmcalifornia · Public domain
Dixie Fire (2021) in Shasta County, California - Smoke of the Dixie Fire in California on August 4, 2021. Picture taken by an astronaut on the International Space Station.
Dixie Fire, 2021 — Shasta County. Photo: NASA Earth Observatory · Public domain
344 mapped fire perimeters centred in the county since 1984
1,043,461 acres inside those perimeters since 1984
42.6% of the county's area, as a share of 9,919.4 km²
Green 2025 most recent large fire on record
Named fires on record
  • Carr Fire2018229,686 acres1,614 structures destroyed
  • Dixie Fire2021963,309 acres in totalcrossed into the county
  • Zogg Fire202056,338 acres204 structures destroyed
  • Delta Fire201863,506 acres
  • Glass Mountain Fire1910146,968 acres
  • Hirz Fire201840,608 acres
  • Bagley Fire201246,040 acres
  • Jones Fire199926,203 acres954 structures destroyed

Perimeter sources: NIFC Interagency Fire Perimeter History · WFIGS Interagency Perimeters · largest on record: Carr 2018. Perimeters are simplified for display; acreage is the figure the source records.

Communities

Where in the county you are matters most

Among the larger named communities, Redding is lower at 39.1, Anderson is 57.8, and Shasta Lake is 67.2.

Several smaller communities score in the upper range, including Bella Vista at 70.2 and Fall River Mills at 69.5; Old Station is close behind at 68.7.

Cottonwood stands out as a lower-exposure pocket at 26.2, while nearby places like Millville are much higher at 61.5.

Bella Vista village
70.2 High
Fall River Mills village
69.5 High
Old Station village
68.7 High
Shasta Lake town · 10,228 people
67.2 High
Shingletown village
66.9 High
Big Bend village
65.9 High
Burney village · 3,200 people
65.3 High
Millville village · 724 people
61.5 High
Anderson town · 10,418 people
57.8 High
Palo Cedro town
55.6 High
2 more communities in Shasta County
Redding city · 91,582 people
39.1 Moderate
Cottonwood village
26.2 Moderate

The score is the median of the sampled points nearest that community — a community-scale indicator, not a score for any individual property in it. Population comes from the community's own record where the source carries one.

Terrain & fuels

Terrain, vegetation and fuels

Terrain contributes steady background exposure: terrain scores run from 40.0 up to 65.0, with the upper end seen at Shingletown.

Vegetation and fuels vary more, from 20.0 in Redding to 80.0 in unincorporated areas, with a middle value of 70.0.

State hazard-zone scoring is high in many places, with a middle value of 90.0, peaking at 96.0 near Bella Vista and dropping to 10.0 in Cottonwood.

Fire-history scoring ranges from 5.0 near Cottonwood to 95.0 in unincorporated areas, with a middle value of 60.0. Fire weather was not measured at all in this county summary.

65 median terrain score (max 65 near Shingletown)
70 median vegetation & fuels score (max 80 near unincorporated Shasta County)
LANDFIRE existing vegetation type map of Shasta County, California, with the county boundary outlined
LANDFIRE existing vegetation type across Shasta County — the same fuel data that feeds the vegetation layer of a Satelife property report.
Fire weather

Fire weather across Shasta County

Fire weather was not measured at the sampled points in Shasta County. The other four indicators on this page were, and the bars below show what they found.

What drives it

Which part of the risk moves, and which doesn't

Wildfire risk is not even from one part of the county to another. Cottonwood is the lowest named point at 20.0, while unincorporated Shasta County reaches 82.5.

Redding sits lower than many nearby communities at 39.1, while Shasta Lake is 67.2 and Bella Vista is 70.2.

By tier counts, High is the dominant tier in the places we scored (119 points), with another 29 in Very High. This pattern is associated with broad elevated exposure, not just a few isolated hotspots.

Each bar is what one part of the score covers across Shasta County, on the same 0–100 scale. A long bar is a part of the risk that depends on where you are; a short one is the same almost everywhere.

Terrain
40–65 highest near Shingletown
Vegetation & fuels
20–80 highest near unincorporated Shasta County
Hazard zone
10–96 highest near Bella Vista
Fire history
5–95 highest near unincorporated Shasta County
Overall score
20–82.5 highest near unincorporated Shasta County

The tick on each bar is the middle value. Tier boundaries — Moderate at 25, High at 50, Very High at 75 — are the faint lines behind them.

Show every number behind these bars
Layer Min Median Max Lowest place Highest place Points
Terrain 40 65 65 unincorporated Shasta County Shingletown 162
Vegetation & fuels 20 70 80 Redding unincorporated Shasta County 162
Hazard zone 10 90 96 Cottonwood near Bella Vista 162
Fire history 5 60 95 near Cottonwood unincorporated Shasta County 162
Composite 20 66.5 82.5 Cottonwood unincorporated Shasta County 162

Independently of Satelife's layers, the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities grid puts the county's mean annual burn probability at 1.25% (90th percentile cell: 2.89%), with a mean conditional flame length of 6.94 ft. 98% of the 27,106 grid cells inside the county carry burnable fuel at all.

Source: USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0 (ImageServer, county extent).

CAL FIRE has no mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone at 57 of the 162 sampled points — the zones cover Local Responsibility Areas. At 57 of them the USFS grid above supplied the hazard reading instead.

162 sample points on a ~2.3 km grid, plus one at the centre of each community, weighted with the Satelife county profile v1 · median layer coverage 90%. Scores are 0–100 and comparable within the county, not across states.

For a property

What a county range means for one address

A separate national model from the U.S. Forest Service reports a mean annual burn probability of 1.25% for the county, with 2.89% in its higher-exposure cells.

That same model indicates 98.3% of the county can burn and reports a mean conditional flame length of 6.94 feet.

At the county scale, FEMA’s National Risk Index rates wildfire risk as "Relatively High" and expected annual wildfire loss as "Relatively High." FEMA rates social vulnerability and community resilience as "Relatively Moderate."

Across 162 sampled points in Shasta County, the score runs from 20 to 82.5 — two neighbouring parcels can sit in different tiers. A county number is the middle of that spread; it says nothing about which end yours is at.

Find out where your Shasta County parcel sits

Slope, the fuel touching the structure, the road out, the fire history within a mile — measured at your address, not averaged across the county.

Free to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan

Coverage

ZIP codes we cover in Shasta County

Every one of the 36 ZIP areas that touch Shasta County — we run address-level reports in all of them. They are grouped by the median score of the points we sampled inside each, which is a neighbourhood-scale indicator and not a score for any property: two homes in the same ZIP routinely land in different tiers.

Grouped from 28 of 36 ZIP areas — the rest had no sample point fall inside them. The community shown is the nearest mapped place to the ZIP's centre.

ZIP areas are Census 2020 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas intersecting the county boundary.

Where to go next

Shasta County wildfire risk in context

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about Shasta County wildfire risk

What is the largest fire listed for Shasta County?

The largest fire in this county profile is the Carr Fire in 2018, at 229,686 acres.

What is the most recent large fire?

The most recent large fire is Green (2025).

How much of the county has burned since 1984?

42.6% of Shasta County has burned since 1984.

Was fire weather included in these county scores?

No. Fire weather was not measured at all in this county summary.

What does FEMA say about countywide wildfire risk?

FEMA’s National Risk Index rates Shasta County’s wildfire risk as "Relatively High" and its expected annual wildfire loss as "Relatively High."

This page is generated from a Shasta County data pack assembled on 2026-08-18 (pack v1.0). Scores are sampled across the county, not measured at any individual address, and are informational decision support — not a substitute for official evacuation orders, a fire-agency hazard determination, or an insurer's underwriting judgement. Data versions: fema_nri 1.20.0 (Dec 2025) · landfire per adapter · nifc_history All Years View · wfigs current · wrc v2.0 (2024) · zcta Census 2020.

What does your parcel look like, layer by layer?

A county range shows the spread. An address-level Satelife report shows where in that spread your property actually sits — PDF, per-layer score, and a prioritized mitigation plan.

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