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San Benito County, California

Wildfire risk in San Benito County: where it is highest, and why

Wildfire risk is not uniform across San Benito County. In the places we scored, the lowest wildfire risk score is 21.1 in Hollister, while the highest is 83.8 in unincorporated San Benito County.

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San Benito County — the largest fires on record, at their perimeter centres, with the county’s main communities. Select a marker for its detail.
At a glance

Half of San Benito County scores High or worse

We scored 152 points across San Benito County on the same 0–100 scale a Satelife address report uses, and they do not land in one place. 15% of them come out Very High, while 3% are Low. Which end your own parcel sits at is not something a county map can tell you.

Very High 15% · 23 of 152 points High 68% · 104 of 152 points Moderate 13% · 20 of 152 points Low 3% · 5 of 152 points
Safest end we measured 21.1 near Hollister · Low
Middle of the county 63.3 High — half of San Benito County is above this
Most exposed end we measured 83.8 near unincorporated San Benito County · Very High

And the federal models agree it is a fire county

Relatively Moderate FEMA National Risk Index — wildfire risk rating · index score 95.4 / 100
$5.5M / yr FEMA NRI — expected annual loss from wildfire · rated Relatively Moderate
1.95% USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities — mean annual burn probability · 90th-percentile cell 3.95%
6.33 ft USFS WRC — mean conditional flame length · 99% of the county carries burnable fuel

FEMA NRI also rates San Benito County: all-hazards risk Relatively Moderate · social vulnerability Very Low · community resilience Relatively Moderate · annualised wildfire frequency 0.0085.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (Dec 2025), county record · USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0, mean of the grid cells inside the county. Both describe the county as a whole, never an address in it.

What does your San Benito County address score?

A county range shows the spread. Your parcel sits somewhere inside it — the report says where, and what to do about it.

Free to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan

Local context

What the data says about San Benito County

Most scored locations fall in the High tier, with 104 points there. There are also places in Very High, Moderate, and Low, which means buyers and owners can see very different risk levels within the same county.

For a county-wide benchmark, FEMA’s National Risk Index rates San Benito County’s wildfire risk as Relatively Moderate.

Fire record

Where the fires actually were

Since 1984, 36,289 acres have burned in San Benito County, and that is 4.1% of the county. The county has had 75 fire perimeters in that period.

The largest fire listed since 1984 is Rock Springs VMP (2019), at 4,410 acres. The most recent large fire is Coyote (2020).

In the longer fire record shown here, the largest named fire is Ciervo (1979) at 62,902 acres, and it was partly in the county.

75 mapped fire perimeters centred in the county since 1984
36,289 acres inside those perimeters since 1984
4.1% of the county's area, as a share of 3,580.9 km²
Coyote 2020 most recent large fire on record
Named fires on record
  • Mack Fire195035,380 acres
  • Ciervo Fire197962,902 acres in totalcrossed into the county
  • Burkett Fire195511,574 acres
  • Rock Springs VMP Fire20194,410 acres
  • Brown Fire20083,787 acres
  • Melendy Fire19524,485 acres
  • 101 Ranch Fire19534,464 acres
  • Stone Canyon Fire19574,280 acres

Perimeter sources: NIFC Interagency Fire Perimeter History · largest on record: Rock Springs VMP 2019. Perimeters are simplified for display; acreage is the figure the source records.

Communities

Where in the county you are matters most

For the two named communities in this report, San Juan Bautista has a slightly higher median wildfire risk score (50.9) than Hollister (48.5). These are close, but nearby unincorporated areas can be much higher.

A separate U.S. Forest Service product estimates modeled burn probability across the county. It shows a mean annual burn probability of 1.95% and a 90th-percentile cell value of 3.95%; it is a burn-probability model, not a fire-weather measure.

That same model indicates 99.3% of the county can burn under its mapping framework, so exposure is geographically broad even though local scores still vary a lot.

San Juan Bautista village · 1,744 people
50.9 High
Hollister town · 35,690 people
48.5 Moderate

The score is the median of the sampled points nearest that community — a community-scale indicator, not a score for any individual property in it. Population comes from the community's own record where the source carries one.

Terrain & fuels

Terrain, vegetation and fuels

This page does not include a fire-weather score for San Benito County; fire weather was not measured at all in the places we scored.

What is measured shows stronger terrain and fuels exposure outside city centers. Terrain scores run from 20.0 in Hollister to 65.0 in unincorporated San Benito County, and vegetation-and-fuels scores run from 20.0 in Hollister to 80.0 in unincorporated areas.

Hazard-zone scores also spread widely, from 10.0 in San Juan Bautista up to 95.8 in unincorporated San Benito County.

65 median terrain score (max 65 near unincorporated San Benito County)
71.8 median vegetation & fuels score (max 80 near unincorporated San Benito County)
Fire weather

Fire weather across San Benito County

Fire weather was not measured at the sampled points in San Benito County. The other four indicators on this page were, and the bars below show what they found.

What drives it

Which part of the risk moves, and which doesn't

Risk varies by location, not just by town name. The highest scored areas are in unincorporated San Benito County (83.8), while the lowest scored point is in Hollister (21.1).

At the community level, the median scored risk is 48.5 in Hollister and 50.9 in San Juan Bautista. That puts both communities near each other, even though nearby unincorporated areas can score much higher.

By tier counts, High is the most common level in the county, and Very High is the next largest group. Moderate and Low appear less often among the places we scored.

Each bar is what one part of the score covers across San Benito County, on the same 0–100 scale. A long bar is a part of the risk that depends on where you are; a short one is the same almost everywhere.

Terrain
20–65 highest near unincorporated San Benito County
Vegetation & fuels
20–80 highest near unincorporated San Benito County
Hazard zone
10–95.8 highest near unincorporated San Benito County
Fire history
5–95 highest near Hollister
Overall score
21.1–83.8 highest near unincorporated San Benito County

The tick on each bar is the middle value. Tier boundaries — Moderate at 25, High at 50, Very High at 75 — are the faint lines behind them.

Show every number behind these bars
Layer Min Median Max Lowest place Highest place Points
Terrain 20 65 65 Hollister unincorporated San Benito County 152
Vegetation & fuels 20 71.8 80 Hollister unincorporated San Benito County 152
Hazard zone 10 70.8 95.8 San Juan Bautista unincorporated San Benito County 152
Fire history 5 20 95 unincorporated San Benito County near Hollister 152
Composite 21.1 63.3 83.8 Hollister unincorporated San Benito County 152

Independently of Satelife's layers, the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities grid puts the county's mean annual burn probability at 1.95% (90th percentile cell: 3.95%), with a mean conditional flame length of 6.33 ft. 99% of the 17,510 grid cells inside the county carry burnable fuel at all.

Source: USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0 (ImageServer, county extent).

CAL FIRE has no mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone at 22 of the 152 sampled points — the zones cover Local Responsibility Areas. At 22 of them the USFS grid above supplied the hazard reading instead.

152 sample points on a ~2.3 km grid, plus one at the centre of each community, weighted with the Satelife county profile v1 · median layer coverage 90%. Scores are 0–100 and comparable within the county, not across states.

For a property

What a county range means for one address

At a property level, nearby locations can differ sharply, especially between incorporated areas and surrounding unincorporated land. That is why an address-level result may look different from a city median.

Fire-history scoring ranges from 5.0 in unincorporated San Benito County to 95.0 near Hollister. Hazard-zone scoring also runs high in some unincorporated areas, which contributes to the spread you see between nearby properties.

For county context only, FEMA’s National Risk Index rates both wildfire risk and expected annual wildfire loss for San Benito County as Relatively Moderate.

Across 152 sampled points in San Benito County, the score runs from 21.1 to 83.8 — two neighbouring parcels can sit in different tiers. A county number is the middle of that spread; it says nothing about which end yours is at.

Find out where your San Benito County parcel sits

Slope, the fuel touching the structure, the road out, the fire history within a mile — measured at your address, not averaged across the county.

Free to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan

Coverage

ZIP codes we cover in San Benito County

Every one of the 17 ZIP areas that touch San Benito County — we run address-level reports in all of them. They are grouped by the median score of the points we sampled inside each, which is a neighbourhood-scale indicator and not a score for any property: two homes in the same ZIP routinely land in different tiers.

Grouped from 7 of 17 ZIP areas — the rest had no sample point fall inside them. The community shown is the nearest mapped place to the ZIP's centre.

ZIP areas are Census 2020 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas intersecting the county boundary.

Where to go next

San Benito County wildfire risk in context

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about San Benito County wildfire risk

Is wildfire risk the same across San Benito County?

No. In the places we scored, wildfire risk ranges from 21.1 in Hollister to 83.8 in unincorporated San Benito County.

What are the key recent fire facts for this county?

Since 1984, 36,289 acres have burned, which is 4.1% of the county. The largest fire listed since 1984 is Rock Springs VMP (2019), and the most recent large fire is Coyote (2020).

How do Hollister and San Juan Bautista compare?

Their median scored wildfire risk is close: 48.5 for Hollister and 50.9 for San Juan Bautista.

Does this page include a fire-weather score?

No. Fire weather was not measured at all in the places we scored for this county. The page does include terrain, vegetation and fuels, hazard-zone, fire-history, and modeled burn-probability information.

This page is generated from a San Benito County data pack assembled on 2026-08-19 (pack v1.0). Scores are sampled across the county, not measured at any individual address, and are informational decision support — not a substitute for official evacuation orders, a fire-agency hazard determination, or an insurer's underwriting judgement. Data versions: fema_nri 1.20.0 (Dec 2025) · landfire per adapter · nifc_history All Years View · wfigs current · wrc v2.0 (2024) · zcta Census 2020.

What does your parcel look like, layer by layer?

A county range shows the spread. An address-level Satelife report shows where in that spread your property actually sits — PDF, per-layer score, and a prioritized mitigation plan.

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