{
  "title": "Wildfire Risk in Shasta County, CA 2026 | Satelife",
  "description": "Across Shasta County, wildfire risk scores run from 20.0 in Cottonwood to 82.5 in unincorporated areas, with a county middle point of 66.5.",
  "image": "https://satelife.ai/images/wildfire-risk/shasta-county/generated/shasta-county-locator.webp",
  "canonical": "https://satelife.ai/wildfire-risk/california/shasta-county/",
  "content": "[Home](/)›[Wildfire Risk](/wildfire-risk/)›[California](/wildfire-risk/california/)›Shasta County\n\nShasta County, California\n\n# Wildfire risk in Shasta County: _where it is highest_, and why\n\nAcross Shasta County, wildfire risk scores run from 20.0 in Cottonwood to 82.5 in unincorporated areas, with a county middle point of 66.5.\n\n[Score my Shasta County address →](#score-my-address) [How risky is this county? ↓](#risk-at-a-glance)\n\nBefore 20002000s2010s2020sCommunity\n\nShasta County — the largest fires on record, at their perimeter centres, with the county’s main communities. Select a marker for its detail.\n\nAt a glance\n\n## Half of Shasta County scores _High_ or worse\n\nWe scored 162 points across Shasta County on the same 0–100 scale a Satelife address report uses, and they do not land in one place. 18% of them come out Very High, while 1% are Low. Which end your own parcel sits at is not something a county map can tell you.\n\n18%\n\n73%\n\n**Very High** 18% · 29 of 162 points **High** 73% · 119 of 162 points **Moderate** 8% · 13 of 162 points **Low** 1% · 1 of 162 points\n\nSafest end we measured 20 near Cottonwood · Low\n\nMiddle of the county 66.5 High — half of Shasta County is above this\n\nMost exposed end we measured 82.5 near unincorporated Shasta County · Very High\n\n### And the federal models agree it is a fire county\n\nRelatively High FEMA National Risk Index — wildfire risk rating · index score 99.5 / 100\n\n$35.4M / yr FEMA NRI — expected annual loss from wildfire · rated Relatively High\n\n1.25% USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities — mean annual burn probability · 90th-percentile cell 2.89%\n\n6.94 ft USFS WRC — mean conditional flame length · 98% of the county carries burnable fuel\n\nFEMA NRI also rates Shasta County: all-hazards risk Relatively Moderate · social vulnerability Relatively Moderate · community resilience Relatively Moderate · annualised wildfire frequency 0.0088.\n\nSources: FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (Dec 2025), county record · USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0, mean of the grid cells inside the county. Both describe the county as a whole, never an address in it.\n\nWhat does your Shasta County address score?\n\nA county range shows the spread. Your parcel sits somewhere inside it — the report says where, and what to do about it.\n\nFree to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan\n\nLocal context\n\n## What the data says about _Shasta County_\n\nMost places we scored fell in the High tier: 119 points, compared with 29 in Very High and just 1 in Low.\n\nSince 1984, 1,043,461 acres have burned, and 42.6% of the county has burned at least once. FEMA’s National Risk Index rates countywide wildfire risk as \"Relatively High.\"\n\nFire record\n\n## Where the fires _actually were_\n\nThe largest fire for this county profile is the Carr Fire (2018), at 229,686 acres. The most recent large fire is Green (2025).\n\nThe Dixie Fire (2021) was 963,309 acres and was partly in Shasta County, showing how major regional fires can overlap county lines.\n\nWhere destruction counts are listed, the Carr Fire destroyed 1,614 structures, and the Zogg Fire (2020) destroyed 204.\n\nThe Jones Fire (1999) also had major structure loss, with 954 destroyed.\n\n![Carr Fire (2018) in Shasta County, California - The Carr Fire is a 2018 California wildfire that burned in Shasta and Trinity counties. Photo by Eric Coulter, BLM.](/images/wildfire-risk/shasta-county/photos/2018-carr-fire-42286555560.webp)\n\n**Carr Fire, 2018** — Shasta County. Photo: blmcalifornia · [Public domain](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:2018_Carr_Fire_\\(42286555560\\).jpg)\n\n![Dixie Fire (2021) in Shasta County, California - Smoke of the Dixie Fire in California on August 4, 2021. Picture taken by an astronaut on the International Space Station.](/images/wildfire-risk/shasta-county/photos/iss065-e-220417-lrg.webp)\n\n**Dixie Fire, 2021** — Shasta County. Photo: NASA Earth Observatory · [Public domain](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:ISS065-E-220417_lrg.jpg)\n\n344 mapped fire perimeters centred in the county since 1984\n\n1,043,461 acres inside those perimeters since 1984\n\n42.6% of the county's area, as a share of 9,919.4 km²\n\nGreen 2025 most recent large fire on record\n\nBefore 20002000s2010s2020s \n\nFire perimeters coloured by decade. Select a perimeter for its name, year and size.\n\nNamed fires on record\n\n-   **Carr Fire**2018229,686 acres1,614 structures destroyed\n-   **Dixie Fire**2021963,309 acres in totalcrossed into the county\n-   **Zogg Fire**202056,338 acres204 structures destroyed\n-   **Delta Fire**201863,506 acres\n-   **Glass Mountain Fire**1910146,968 acres\n-   **Hirz Fire**201840,608 acres\n-   **Bagley Fire**201246,040 acres\n-   **Jones Fire**199926,203 acres954 structures destroyed\n\nPerimeter sources: NIFC Interagency Fire Perimeter History · WFIGS Interagency Perimeters · largest on record: Carr 2018. Perimeters are simplified for display; acreage is the figure the source records.\n\nCommunities\n\n## Where in the county you are _matters most_\n\nAmong the larger named communities, Redding is lower at 39.1, Anderson is 57.8, and Shasta Lake is 67.2.\n\nSeveral smaller communities score in the upper range, including Bella Vista at 70.2 and Fall River Mills at 69.5; Old Station is close behind at 68.7.\n\nCottonwood stands out as a lower-exposure pocket at 26.2, while nearby places like Millville are much higher at 61.5.\n\nBella Vista village\n\n70.2 _High_\n\nFall River Mills village\n\n69.5 _High_\n\nOld Station village\n\n68.7 _High_\n\nShasta Lake town · 10,228 people\n\n67.2 _High_\n\nShingletown village\n\n66.9 _High_\n\nBig Bend village\n\n65.9 _High_\n\nBurney village · 3,200 people\n\n65.3 _High_\n\nMillville village · 724 people\n\n61.5 _High_\n\nAnderson town · 10,418 people\n\n57.8 _High_\n\nPalo Cedro town\n\n55.6 _High_\n\n2 more communities in Shasta County\n\nRedding city · 91,582 people\n\n39.1 _Moderate_\n\nCottonwood village\n\n26.2 _Moderate_\n\nThe score is the median of the sampled points nearest that community — a community-scale indicator, not a score for any individual property in it. Population comes from the community's own record where the source carries one.\n\nTerrain & fuels\n\n## Terrain, vegetation and _fuels_\n\nTerrain contributes steady background exposure: terrain scores run from 40.0 up to 65.0, with the upper end seen at Shingletown.\n\nVegetation and fuels vary more, from 20.0 in Redding to 80.0 in unincorporated areas, with a middle value of 70.0.\n\nState hazard-zone scoring is high in many places, with a middle value of 90.0, peaking at 96.0 near Bella Vista and dropping to 10.0 in Cottonwood.\n\nFire-history scoring ranges from 5.0 near Cottonwood to 95.0 in unincorporated areas, with a middle value of 60.0. Fire weather was not measured at all in this county summary.\n\n65 median terrain score (max 65 near Shingletown)\n\n70 median vegetation & fuels score (max 80 near unincorporated Shasta County)\n\n![LANDFIRE existing vegetation type map of Shasta County, California, with the county boundary outlined](/images/wildfire-risk/shasta-county/generated/shasta-county-fuels.webp)\n\nLANDFIRE existing vegetation type across Shasta County — the same fuel data that feeds the vegetation layer of a Satelife property report.\n\nFire weather\n\n## Fire weather across _Shasta County_\n\nFire weather was not measured at the sampled points in Shasta County. The other four indicators on this page were, and the bars below show what they found.\n\nWhat drives it\n\n## Which part of the risk _moves_, and which doesn't\n\nWildfire risk is not even from one part of the county to another. Cottonwood is the lowest named point at 20.0, while unincorporated Shasta County reaches 82.5.\n\nRedding sits lower than many nearby communities at 39.1, while Shasta Lake is 67.2 and Bella Vista is 70.2.\n\nBy tier counts, High is the dominant tier in the places we scored (119 points), with another 29 in Very High. This pattern is associated with broad elevated exposure, not just a few isolated hotspots.\n\nEach bar is what one part of the score covers across Shasta County, on the same 0–100 scale. A long bar is a part of the risk that depends on where you are; a short one is the same almost everywhere.\n\nTerrain\n\n40–65 highest near Shingletown\n\nVegetation & fuels\n\n20–80 highest near unincorporated Shasta County\n\nHazard zone\n\n10–96 highest near Bella Vista\n\nFire history\n\n5–95 highest near unincorporated Shasta County\n\nOverall score\n\n20–82.5 highest near unincorporated Shasta County\n\nThe tick on each bar is the middle value. Tier boundaries — Moderate at 25, High at 50, Very High at 75 — are the faint lines behind them.\n\nShow every number behind these bars\n\nLayer\n\nMin\n\nMedian\n\nMax\n\nLowest place\n\nHighest place\n\nPoints\n\nTerrain\n\n40\n\n65\n\n65\n\nunincorporated Shasta County\n\nShingletown\n\n162\n\nVegetation & fuels\n\n20\n\n70\n\n80\n\nRedding\n\nunincorporated Shasta County\n\n162\n\nHazard zone\n\n10\n\n90\n\n96\n\nCottonwood\n\nnear Bella Vista\n\n162\n\nFire history\n\n5\n\n60\n\n95\n\nnear Cottonwood\n\nunincorporated Shasta County\n\n162\n\nComposite\n\n20\n\n66.5\n\n82.5\n\nCottonwood\n\nunincorporated Shasta County\n\n162\n\nIndependently of Satelife's layers, the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities grid puts the county's mean annual burn probability at **1.25%** (90th percentile cell: **2.89%**), with a mean conditional flame length of **6.94 ft**. **98%** of the 27,106 grid cells inside the county carry burnable fuel at all.\n\nSource: USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0 (ImageServer, county extent).\n\nCAL FIRE has no mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone at **57** of the 162 sampled points — the zones cover Local Responsibility Areas. At **57** of them the USFS grid above supplied the hazard reading instead.\n\n162 sample points on a ~2.3 km grid, plus one at the centre of each community, weighted with the Satelife county profile v1 · median layer coverage 90%. Scores are 0–100 and comparable within the county, not across states.\n\nFor a property\n\n## What a county range means for _one address_\n\nA separate national model from the U.S. Forest Service reports a mean annual burn probability of 1.25% for the county, with 2.89% in its higher-exposure cells.\n\nThat same model indicates 98.3% of the county can burn and reports a mean conditional flame length of 6.94 feet.\n\nAt the county scale, FEMA’s National Risk Index rates wildfire risk as \"Relatively High\" and expected annual wildfire loss as \"Relatively High.\" FEMA rates social vulnerability and community resilience as \"Relatively Moderate.\"\n\nAcross 162 sampled points in Shasta County, the score runs from 20 to 82.5 — two neighbouring parcels can sit in different tiers. A county number is the middle of that spread; it says nothing about which end yours is at.\n\nFind out where your Shasta County parcel sits\n\nSlope, the fuel touching the structure, the road out, the fire history within a mile — measured at your address, not averaged across the county.\n\nFree to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan\n\nCoverage\n\n## ZIP codes we cover in Shasta County\n\nEvery one of the 36 ZIP areas that touch Shasta County — we run address-level reports in all of them. They are grouped by the median score of the points we sampled inside each, which is a neighbourhood-scale indicator and **not** a score for any property: two homes in the same ZIP routinely land in different tiers.\n\n**Very High** 2 ZIPs\n\n-   [96047 Redding77](/wildfire-risk/zip/96047/)\n-   [96071 Old Station76](/wildfire-risk/zip/96071/)\n\n**High** 26 ZIPs\n\n-   [96076 72](/wildfire-risk/zip/96076/)\n-   [96051 Shasta Lake72](/wildfire-risk/zip/96051/)\n-   [96033 Shasta Lake71](/wildfire-risk/zip/96033/)\n-   [96087 Redding71](/wildfire-risk/zip/96087/)\n-   [96008 Bella Vista70](/wildfire-risk/zip/96008/)\n-   [96028 Fall River Mills69](/wildfire-risk/zip/96028/)\n-   [96016 Burney69](/wildfire-risk/zip/96016/)\n-   [96059 Shingletown67](/wildfire-risk/zip/96059/)\n-   [96088 Shingletown67](/wildfire-risk/zip/96088/)\n-   [96084 Burney66](/wildfire-risk/zip/96084/)\n-   [96017 Big Bend66](/wildfire-risk/zip/96017/)\n-   [96013 Burney65](/wildfire-risk/zip/96013/)\n-   [96096 Shingletown65](/wildfire-risk/zip/96096/)\n-   [96025 65](/wildfire-risk/zip/96025/)\n-   [96069 Bella Vista64](/wildfire-risk/zip/96069/)\n-   [96062 Millville63](/wildfire-risk/zip/96062/)\n-   [96065 Big Bend63](/wildfire-risk/zip/96065/)\n-   [96011 Big Bend62](/wildfire-risk/zip/96011/)\n-   [96003 Shasta Lake60](/wildfire-risk/zip/96003/)\n-   [96056 Fall River Mills60](/wildfire-risk/zip/96056/)\n-   [96073 Palo Cedro59](/wildfire-risk/zip/96073/)\n-   [96007 Anderson58](/wildfire-risk/zip/96007/)\n-   [96019 Shasta Lake57](/wildfire-risk/zip/96019/)\n-   [96022 Cottonwood57](/wildfire-risk/zip/96022/)\n-   [96040 Old Station53](/wildfire-risk/zip/96040/)\n-   [96001 Redding52](/wildfire-risk/zip/96001/)\n\n**No sampled point inside** 8 ZIPs\n\n[96002 Palo Cedro](/wildfire-risk/zip/96002/) · [96020](/wildfire-risk/zip/96020/) · [96024](/wildfire-risk/zip/96024/) · [96052 Redding](/wildfire-risk/zip/96052/) · [96057 Big Bend](/wildfire-risk/zip/96057/) · [96075 Shingletown](/wildfire-risk/zip/96075/) · [96080 Cottonwood](/wildfire-risk/zip/96080/) · [96091](/wildfire-risk/zip/96091/)\n\nGrouped from 28 of 36 ZIP areas — the rest had no sample point fall inside them. The community shown is the nearest mapped place to the ZIP's centre.\n\nZIP areas are Census 2020 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas intersecting the county boundary.\n\nWhere to go next\n\n## Shasta County wildfire risk _in context_\n\n[California wildfire risk The statewide picture and every county page we publish](/wildfire-risk/california/) [Wildfire risk by state Every state and county we cover](/wildfire-risk/) [How Satelife calculates wildfire risk Data sources, layers, score composition, honest limits](/wildfire-risk/methodology/) [Create a wildfire evacuation plan Zones, egress routes, refuge areas](/wildfire-evacuation-plan/) [Run a report for a Shasta County address PDF + score + mitigation plan](/#cta)\n\nFAQ\n\n## Frequently asked questions about _Shasta County wildfire risk_\n\nWhat is the largest fire listed for Shasta County?\n\nThe largest fire in this county profile is the Carr Fire in 2018, at 229,686 acres.\n\nWhat is the most recent large fire?\n\nThe most recent large fire is Green (2025).\n\nHow much of the county has burned since 1984?\n\n42.6% of Shasta County has burned since 1984.\n\nWas fire weather included in these county scores?\n\nNo. Fire weather was not measured at all in this county summary.\n\nWhat does FEMA say about countywide wildfire risk?\n\nFEMA’s National Risk Index rates Shasta County’s wildfire risk as \"Relatively High\" and its expected annual wildfire loss as \"Relatively High.\"\n\nThis page is generated from a Shasta County data pack assembled on 2026-08-18 (pack v1.0). Scores are sampled across the county, not measured at any individual address, and are informational decision support — not a substitute for official evacuation orders, a fire-agency hazard determination, or an insurer's underwriting judgement. Data versions: fema\\_nri 1.20.0 (Dec 2025) · landfire per adapter · nifc\\_history All Years View · wfigs current · wrc v2.0 (2024) · zcta Census 2020.\n\n## What does _your parcel_ look like, layer by layer?\n\nA county range shows the spread. An address-level Satelife report shows where in that spread your property actually sits — PDF, per-layer score, and a prioritized mitigation plan.\n\n[Start with your address →](/#cta)\n\n[![PRR](/images/prr.png)](/ficha-de-website-voucher-satelife.pdf)\n\n© 2024–2026 Satelife, Lda. All rights reserved.\n\nSatelife reports are for informational purposes only and do not constitute insurance, financial, or legal advice."
}