--- title: "Wildfire Risk in San Joaquin County, CA 2026 | Satelife" description: "Across San Joaquin County, wildfire risk scores run from 10.8 in Lincoln Village to 70.9 near Tracy. The middle scored level is 18.9." image: "https://satelife.ai/images/wildfire-risk/san-joaquin-county/generated/san-joaquin-county-locator.webp" canonical: "https://satelife.ai/wildfire-risk/california/san-joaquin-county/" --- [Home](/)›[Wildfire Risk](/wildfire-risk/)›[California](/wildfire-risk/california/)›San Joaquin County San Joaquin County, California # Wildfire risk in San Joaquin County: _where it is highest_, and why Across San Joaquin County, wildfire risk scores run from 10.8 in Lincoln Village to 70.9 near Tracy. The middle scored level is 18.9. [Score my San Joaquin County address →](#score-my-address) [How risky is this county? ↓](#risk-at-a-glance) Before 20002000s2010s2020sCommunity San Joaquin County — the largest fires on record, at their perimeter centres, with the county’s main communities. Select a marker for its detail. At a glance ## Half of San Joaquin County scores _Low_ or worse We scored 178 points across San Joaquin County on the same 0–100 scale a Satelife address report uses, and they do not land in one place. 8% of them come out High, while 80% are Low. Which end your own parcel sits at is not something a county map can tell you. 12% 80% **High** 8% · 14 of 178 points **Moderate** 12% · 22 of 178 points **Low** 80% · 142 of 178 points Safest end we measured 10.8 near Lincoln Village · Low Middle of the county 18.9 Low — half of San Joaquin County is above this Most exposed end we measured 70.9 near Tracy · High ### And the federal models agree it is a fire county Relatively Moderate FEMA National Risk Index — wildfire risk rating · index score 92 / 100 $1.9M / yr FEMA NRI — expected annual loss from wildfire · rated Relatively Moderate 0.48% USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities — mean annual burn probability · 90th-percentile cell 1.44% 2.47 ft USFS WRC — mean conditional flame length · 70% of the county carries burnable fuel FEMA NRI also rates San Joaquin County: all-hazards risk Relatively High · social vulnerability Relatively Low · community resilience Relatively Moderate · annualised wildfire frequency 0.0032. Sources: FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (Dec 2025), county record · USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0, mean of the grid cells inside the county. Both describe the county as a whole, never an address in it. What does your San Joaquin County address score? A county range shows the spread. Your parcel sits somewhere inside it — the report says where, and what to do about it. Free to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan Local context ## What the data says about _San Joaquin County_ Most scored places fall in the Low tier: 142 points are Low, and 14 are High. No scored points are in Very High. FEMA’s National Risk Index rates the county’s wildfire risk as “Relatively Moderate” and its expected annual wildfire loss as “Relatively Moderate.” FEMA rates the county’s all-hazards risk as “Relatively High.” Fire record ## Where the fires _actually were_ The Corral fire in 2009 is both the largest fire listed here and the most recent large fire, at 12,243 acres. Since 1984, fire perimeters in the county add up to 39,756 acres, and 4.4% of the county has burned in that period. This record includes 53 perimeters since 1984. Other named fires in this record include Midway (2006), Tesla (2005, partly in county), and Explosives (2009). 53 mapped fire perimeters centred in the county since 1984 39,756 acres inside those perimeters since 1984 4.4% of the county's area, as a share of 3,672 km² Corral 2009 most recent large fire on record Before 20002000s2010s2020s Fire perimeters coloured by decade. Select a perimeter for its name, year and size. Named fires on record - **Corral Fire**200912,243 acres - **Midway Fire**20065,540 acres - **Site 300 #3 Fire**19847,605 acres - **Tesla Fire**20056,440 acres in totalcrossed into the county - **Smiths Ridge Fire**19514,417 acres - **Carnegie #3 Fire**19704,390 acres - **Explosives Fire**20091,989 acres - **San Joaquin Co. Fire**19532,760 acres Perimeter sources: NIFC Interagency Fire Perimeter History · largest on record: Corral 2009. Perimeters are simplified for display; acreage is the figure the source records. Communities ## Where in the county you are _matters most_ Many communities in this county sit in the high teens to low 20s, including Lathrop at 20.2 and Lodi at 18.1. Some of the higher community levels in this list are Dogtown at 25.9, Lockeford at 23.5, and Peters at 22.8. Lower community levels include Stockton at 13.4, Morada at 15.1, and Lincoln Village at 15.6. Dogtown village 25.9 _Moderate_ Lockeford village 23.5 _Low_ Tracy city 23.4 _Low_ Peters village 22.8 _Low_ Farmington village 22.6 _Low_ Linden village 22.1 _Low_ Mountain House city 21.5 _Low_ August village 20.6 _Low_ Collierville village 20.3 _Low_ Lathrop city 20.2 _Low_ 18 more communities in San Joaquin County French Camp village 19.9 _Low_ Waterloo village 18.9 _Low_ Ripon city 18.9 _Low_ Woodbridge village 18.9 _Low_ Garden Acres village 18.9 _Low_ Thornton village 18.9 _Low_ Acampo village 18.7 _Low_ Escalon city 18.5 _Low_ Lodi city 18.1 _Low_ Victor village 18.1 _Low_ Kennedy village 17.9 _Low_ Manteca city 17.6 _Low_ Country Club village 16.4 _Low_ Terminous village 16.4 _Low_ Lincoln Village village 15.6 _Low_ Morada village 15.1 _Low_ Stockton city 13.4 _Low_ Taft Mosswood village 13.4 _Low_ The score is the median of the sampled points nearest that community — a community-scale indicator, not a score for any individual property in it. Population comes from the community's own record where the source carries one. Terrain & fuels ## Terrain, vegetation and _fuels_ Fire weather was not measured for San Joaquin County on this page. For terrain, scores range from 5.0 in Mountain House to 65.0 near Tracy, with a middle value of 20.0. For vegetation and fuels, scores run from 5.0 near Dogtown to 79.1 near Tracy. The middle value is 40.0. 20 median terrain score (max 65 near Tracy) 40 median vegetation & fuels score (max 79.1 near Tracy) Fire weather ## Fire weather across _San Joaquin County_ Fire weather was not measured at the sampled points in San Joaquin County. The other four indicators on this page were, and the bars below show what they found. What drives it ## Which part of the risk _moves_, and which doesn't Wildfire risk is not even across San Joaquin County. The highest scored point is near Tracy at 70.9, while the lowest is in Lincoln Village at 10.8. Among the listed communities, Dogtown is on the higher side at 25.9, while Stockton and Taft Mosswood are lower at 13.4. City-level differences show up too: Tracy is 23.4, while Manteca is 17.6. Each bar is what one part of the score covers across San Joaquin County, on the same 0–100 scale. A long bar is a part of the risk that depends on where you are; a short one is the same almost everywhere. Terrain 5–65 highest near Tracy Vegetation & fuels 5–79.1 highest near Tracy Hazard zone 10–90 highest near Tracy Fire history 5–95 highest near Linden Overall score 10.8–70.9 highest near Tracy The tick on each bar is the middle value. Tier boundaries — Moderate at 25, High at 50, Very High at 75 — are the faint lines behind them. Show every number behind these bars Layer Min Median Max Lowest place Highest place Points Terrain 5 20 65 Mountain House near Tracy 178 Vegetation & fuels 5 40 79.1 near Dogtown near Tracy 178 Hazard zone 10 10 90 near Tracy near Tracy 178 Fire history 5 5 95 near Tracy Linden 178 Composite 10.8 18.9 70.9 Lincoln Village Tracy 178 Independently of Satelife's layers, the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities grid puts the county's mean annual burn probability at **0.48%** (90th percentile cell: **1.44%**), with a mean conditional flame length of **2.47 ft**. **70%** of the 27,868 grid cells inside the county carry burnable fuel at all. Source: USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0 (ImageServer, county extent). 178 sample points on a ~2.3 km grid, plus one at the centre of each community, weighted with the Satelife county profile v1 · median layer coverage 90%. Scores are 0–100 and comparable within the county, not across states. For a property ## What a county range means for _one address_ Hazard-zone scores are low in the middle at 10.0, but they reach 90.0 near Tracy. Fire-history scores are also low in the middle at 5.0, but they rise to 95.0 around Linden. In the U.S. Forest Service Wildfire Risk to Communities model, mean annual burn probability is 0.48%, and the 90th-percentile cell value is 1.44%. The same model shows 69.7% of the county in areas that can burn. That model’s mean conditional flame length is 2.47 feet. Across 178 sampled points in San Joaquin County, the score runs from 10.8 to 70.9 — two neighbouring parcels can sit in different tiers. A county number is the middle of that spread; it says nothing about which end yours is at. Find out where your San Joaquin County parcel sits Slope, the fuel touching the structure, the road out, the fire history within a mile — measured at your address, not averaged across the county. Free to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan Coverage ## ZIP codes we cover in San Joaquin County Every one of the 50 ZIP areas that touch San Joaquin County — we run address-level reports in all of them. They are grouped by the median score of the points we sampled inside each, which is a neighbourhood-scale indicator and **not** a score for any property: two homes in the same ZIP routinely land in different tiers. **High** 1 ZIP - [95377 Tracy63](/wildfire-risk/zip/95377/) **Moderate** 3 ZIPs - [95227 Dogtown30](/wildfire-risk/zip/95227/) - [95632 Collierville30](/wildfire-risk/zip/95632/) - [95638 Dogtown28](/wildfire-risk/zip/95638/) **Low** 27 ZIPs - [95230 Farmington25](/wildfire-risk/zip/95230/) - [95236 Linden23](/wildfire-risk/zip/95236/) - [95330 Lathrop23](/wildfire-risk/zip/95330/) - [95304 Tracy23](/wildfire-risk/zip/95304/) - [95391 Mountain House23](/wildfire-risk/zip/95391/) - [95258 Woodbridge22](/wildfire-risk/zip/95258/) - [95231 French Camp20](/wildfire-risk/zip/95231/) - [95337 Manteca19](/wildfire-risk/zip/95337/) - [95215 Garden Acres19](/wildfire-risk/zip/95215/) - [95220 Collierville19](/wildfire-risk/zip/95220/) - [95240 Lockeford19](/wildfire-risk/zip/95240/) - [95320 Escalon19](/wildfire-risk/zip/95320/) - [95336 Manteca19](/wildfire-risk/zip/95336/) - [95366 Ripon19](/wildfire-risk/zip/95366/) - [95237 Lockeford18](/wildfire-risk/zip/95237/) - [95242 Woodbridge18](/wildfire-risk/zip/95242/) - [95686 Thornton18](/wildfire-risk/zip/95686/) - [95376 Tracy17](/wildfire-risk/zip/95376/) - [95205 August17](/wildfire-risk/zip/95205/) - [95212 Morada17](/wildfire-risk/zip/95212/) - [95206 Country Club17](/wildfire-risk/zip/95206/) - [95219 Terminous16](/wildfire-risk/zip/95219/) - [95209 Lincoln Village16](/wildfire-risk/zip/95209/) - [95203 Country Club13](/wildfire-risk/zip/95203/) - [95204 Stockton13](/wildfire-risk/zip/95204/) - [95207 Lincoln Village13](/wildfire-risk/zip/95207/) - [95210 Lincoln Village13](/wildfire-risk/zip/95210/) **No sampled point inside** 19 ZIPs [94505 Mountain House](/wildfire-risk/zip/94505/) · [94513 Mountain House](/wildfire-risk/zip/94513/) · [94550 Tracy](/wildfire-risk/zip/94550/) · [95202 Stockton](/wildfire-risk/zip/95202/) · [95211 Stockton](/wildfire-risk/zip/95211/) · [95252 Peters](/wildfire-risk/zip/95252/) · [95253 Victor](/wildfire-risk/zip/95253/) · [95356 Escalon](/wildfire-risk/zip/95356/) · [95358 Ripon](/wildfire-risk/zip/95358/) · [95361 Escalon](/wildfire-risk/zip/95361/) · [95363](/wildfire-risk/zip/95363/) · [95367 Escalon](/wildfire-risk/zip/95367/) · [95368 Ripon](/wildfire-risk/zip/95368/) · [95385 Ripon](/wildfire-risk/zip/95385/) · [95387 Ripon](/wildfire-risk/zip/95387/) · [95640 Dogtown](/wildfire-risk/zip/95640/) · [95641 Terminous](/wildfire-risk/zip/95641/) · [95690 Thornton](/wildfire-risk/zip/95690/) · [95757 Thornton](/wildfire-risk/zip/95757/) Grouped from 31 of 50 ZIP areas — the rest had no sample point fall inside them. The community shown is the nearest mapped place to the ZIP's centre. ZIP areas are Census 2020 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas intersecting the county boundary. Where to go next ## San Joaquin County wildfire risk _in context_ [California wildfire risk The statewide picture and every county page we publish](/wildfire-risk/california/) [Wildfire risk by state Every state and county we cover](/wildfire-risk/) [How Satelife calculates wildfire risk Data sources, layers, score composition, honest limits](/wildfire-risk/methodology/) [Create a wildfire evacuation plan Zones, egress routes, refuge areas](/wildfire-evacuation-plan/) [Run a report for a San Joaquin County address PDF + score + mitigation plan](/#cta) FAQ ## Frequently asked questions about _San Joaquin County wildfire risk_ Which wildfire risk tier is most common in San Joaquin County? Low is the most common tier among scored places in the county. There are 142 Low points, and no points in Very High. What is the largest and most recent large fire listed for the county? Both are the Corral fire (2009), which is listed at 12,243 acres. How much of the county has burned since 1984? 4.4% of San Joaquin County has burned since 1984, totaling 39,756 acres in the record shown here. Does this page include fire weather for San Joaquin County? No. Fire weather was not measured for this county on this page. The page does include terrain, vegetation and fuels, hazard-zone, fire-history, and burn-probability information. This page is generated from a San Joaquin County data pack assembled on 2026-08-18 (pack v1.0). Scores are sampled across the county, not measured at any individual address, and are informational decision support — not a substitute for official evacuation orders, a fire-agency hazard determination, or an insurer's underwriting judgement. Data versions: fema\_nri 1.20.0 (Dec 2025) · landfire per adapter · nifc\_history All Years View · wfigs current · wrc v2.0 (2024) · zcta Census 2020. ## What does _your parcel_ look like, layer by layer? A county range shows the spread. An address-level Satelife report shows where in that spread your property actually sits — PDF, per-layer score, and a prioritized mitigation plan. [Start with your address →](/#cta) [![PRR](/images/prr.png)](/ficha-de-website-voucher-satelife.pdf) © 2024–2026 Satelife, Lda. All rights reserved. Satelife reports are for informational purposes only and do not constitute insurance, financial, or legal advice.