--- title: "Wildfire Risk in Yavapai County, Arizona 2026 | Satelife" description: "Wildfire risk in Yavapai County spans a wide range across the places we scored. The countywide middle score is 52.8, with values running from 33.3 in Ash Fork up to 80.3 in unincorporated Yavapai County." image: "https://satelife.ai/images/wildfire-risk/arizona/yavapai-county/generated/yavapai-county-locator.webp" canonical: "https://satelife.ai/wildfire-risk/arizona/yavapai-county/" --- [Home](/)›[Wildfire Risk](/wildfire-risk/)›[Arizona](/wildfire-risk/arizona/)›Yavapai County Yavapai County, Arizona # Wildfire risk in Yavapai County: _where it is highest_, and why Wildfire risk in Yavapai County spans a wide range across the places we scored. The countywide middle score is 52.8, with values running from 33.3 in Ash Fork up to 80.3 in unincorporated Yavapai County. [Score my Yavapai County address →](#score-my-address) [How risky is this county? ↓](#risk-at-a-glance) Before 20002000s2010s2020sCommunity Yavapai County — the largest fires on record, at their perimeter centres, with the county’s main communities. Select a marker for its detail. At a glance ## Half of Yavapai County scores _High_ or worse We scored 175 points across Yavapai County on the same 0–100 scale a Satelife address report uses, and they do not land in one place. 3% of them come out Very High, while 43% are Moderate. Which end your own parcel sits at is not something a county map can tell you. 54% 43% **Very High** 3% · 5 of 175 points **High** 54% · 94 of 175 points **Moderate** 43% · 76 of 175 points Safest end we measured 33.3 near Ash Fork · Moderate Middle of the county 52.8 High — half of Yavapai County is above this Most exposed end we measured 80.3 near unincorporated Yavapai County · Very High ### And the federal models agree it is a fire county Relatively High FEMA National Risk Index — wildfire risk rating · index score 99.6 / 100 $28.7M / yr FEMA NRI — expected annual loss from wildfire · rated Relatively High 0.36% USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities — mean annual burn probability · 90th-percentile cell 0.74% 7.35 ft USFS WRC — mean conditional flame length · 100% of the county carries burnable fuel FEMA NRI also rates Yavapai County: all-hazards risk Relatively Moderate · social vulnerability Relatively High · community resilience Very Low · annualised wildfire frequency 0.0054. Sources: FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (Dec 2025), county record · USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0, mean of the grid cells inside the county. Both describe the county as a whole, never an address in it. What does your Yavapai County address score? A county range shows the spread. Your parcel sits somewhere inside it — the report says where, and what to do about it. Free to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan Local context ## What the data says about _Yavapai County_ Most scored locations fall in the High tier: 94 points. Moderate follows at 76 points, and Very High appears at 5 points. FEMA’s National Risk Index rates Yavapai County’s wildfire risk as Relatively High, and its wildfire expected annual loss as Relatively High. In the same FEMA index, all-hazards risk is Relatively Moderate. Fire record ## Where the fires _actually were_ Since 1984, 785,546 acres have burned in Yavapai County, across 365 fire perimeters. That equals 15.2% of the county area. The largest fire listed here is the Cave Creek Complex (2005) at 250,243 acres. The most recent large fire is Campwood (2026). Other major fires in this record include Willow (2004) at 119,952 acres. Backbone (2021) burned 40,858 acres and was partly in Yavapai County. ![Willow Fire (2004) in Yavapai County, Arizona - The Willow Fire, growing to over 70,000 acres, spared the city of Payson, Arizona. Cooperating weather on Sunday allowed fire crew](/images/wildfire-risk/arizona/yavapai-county/photos/willow-fire-arizona-aster.webp) **Willow Fire, 2004** — Yavapai County. Photo: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Space Systems, and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team · [Public domain](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Willow_Fire,_Arizona_\(ASTER\).jpg) ![Pilot Fire (2023) in Yavapai County, Arizona - Aerial view of 2023 Pilot Fire in Arizona](/images/wildfire-risk/arizona/yavapai-county/photos/pilot-fire-air-attack-20230703-inciweb.webp) **Pilot Fire, 2023** — Yavapai County. Photo: US Federal Government · [Public domain](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Pilot_Fire_Air_Attack_20230703_Inciweb.jpg) 365 mapped fire perimeters centred in the county since 1984 785,546 acres inside those perimeters since 1984 15.2% of the county's area, as a share of 20,951.4 km² Campwood 2026 most recent large fire on record Before 20002000s2010s2020s Fire perimeters coloured by decade. Select a perimeter for its name, year and size. Named fires on record - **Cave Creek Complex Fire**2005250,243 acres - **Willow Fire**2004119,952 acres - **Pilot Fire**202334,778 acres - **Brooklyn Fire**201733,569 acres - **Backbone Fire**202140,858 acres in totalcrossed into the county - **Skeleton Fire**202424,034 acres - **Goodwin Fire**201728,529 acres - **Sheridan Fire**201921,482 acres Perimeter sources: NIFC Interagency Fire Perimeter History · WFIGS Interagency Perimeters · largest on record: Cave Creek Complex 2005. Perimeters are simplified for display; acreage is the figure the source records. Communities ## Where in the county you are _matters most_ Among larger communities, Prescott is higher at 55.0, while Prescott Valley is 42.0 and Cottonwood is 41.2. Several smaller communities score higher, including Black Canyon City at 68.1 and Cordes Lakes at 66.1. Dewey-Humboldt is also elevated at 60.4. At the lower end of listed communities, Ash Fork is 33.3, Camp Verde / ʼMatthi:wa / Gambúdih is 36.2, and Chino Valley is 38.1. Black Canyon City town · 2,677 people 68.1 _High_ Spring Valley village · 1,143 people 66.4 _High_ Cordes Lakes village · 2,684 people 66.1 _High_ Mayer village 66.1 _High_ Wilhoit village · 864 people 62 _High_ Dewey-Humboldt village · 4,063 people 60.4 _High_ Jerome village · 350 people 59.9 _High_ Yarnell village · 570 people 58.3 _High_ Clarkdale village · 3,836 people 55.5 _High_ Peeples Valley village · 499 people 55.2 _High_ 15 more communities in Yavapai County Prescott city · 45,827 people 55 _High_ Congress village · 1,811 people 51.8 _High_ Camp Verde town 50.5 _High_ Lake Montezuma village · 5,111 people 49.3 _Moderate_ Bagdad village · 1,932 people 48.8 _Moderate_ Verde Village village · 12,019 people 48.3 _Moderate_ Cornville village · 3,362 people 46.5 _Moderate_ Paulden village · 5,567 people 46 _Moderate_ Williamson village · 6,196 people 44.1 _Moderate_ Prescott Valley town · 42,197 people 42 _Moderate_ Cottonwood town · 12,029 people 41.2 _Moderate_ Seligman village · 446 people 39.6 _Moderate_ Chino Valley town · 13,020 people 38.1 _Moderate_ Camp Verde / ʼMatthi:wa / Gambúdih village 36.2 _Moderate_ Ash Fork village · 361 people 33.3 _Moderate_ The score is the median of the sampled points nearest that community — a community-scale indicator, not a score for any individual property in it. Population comes from the community's own record where the source carries one. Terrain & fuels ## Terrain, vegetation and _fuels_ Terrain scores are elevated and fairly tight across the places we scored: 55.0 at the low end and 65.0 at the high end. The top terrain value appears near Black Canyon City. Vegetation and fuels show a much wider spread. Scores run from 20.0 in Prescott to 80.0 near Black Canyon City, with a middle value of 74.0. 65 median terrain score (max 65 near Black Canyon City) 74 median vegetation & fuels score (max 80 near Black Canyon City) Fire weather ## Fire weather across _Yavapai County_ Fire weather was not measured at the sampled points in Yavapai County. The other four indicators on this page were, and the bars below show what they found. What drives it ## Which part of the risk _moves_, and which doesn't Across the county, wildfire-risk scores are not uniform. The lowest scored place is Ash Fork at 33.3, while the highest is unincorporated Yavapai County at 80.3. Hazard-zone scores also vary sharply by place, from 10.0 near Black Canyon City to 86.2 in unincorporated Yavapai County. The middle value is 45.2. Fire-history scores range from 5.0 near Black Canyon City to 95.0 in unincorporated Yavapai County, with a middle value of 30.0. Each bar is what one part of the score covers across Yavapai County, on the same 0–100 scale. A long bar is a part of the risk that depends on where you are; a short one is the same almost everywhere. Terrain 55–65 highest near Black Canyon City Vegetation & fuels 20–80 highest near Black Canyon City Hazard zone 10–86.2 highest near unincorporated Yavapai County Fire history 5–95 highest near unincorporated Yavapai County Overall score 33.3–80.3 highest near unincorporated Yavapai County The tick on each bar is the middle value. Tier boundaries — Moderate at 25, High at 50, Very High at 75 — are the faint lines behind them. Show every number behind these bars Layer Min Median Max Lowest place Highest place Points Terrain 55 65 65 unincorporated Yavapai County near Black Canyon City 175 Vegetation & fuels 20 74 80 Prescott near Black Canyon City 175 Hazard zone 10 45.2 86.2 near Black Canyon City unincorporated Yavapai County 175 Fire history 5 30 95 near Black Canyon City unincorporated Yavapai County 175 Composite 33.3 52.8 80.3 Ash Fork unincorporated Yavapai County 175 Independently of Satelife's layers, the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities grid puts the county's mean annual burn probability at **0.36%** (90th percentile cell: **0.74%**), with a mean conditional flame length of **7.35 ft**. **100%** of the 26,833 grid cells inside the county carry burnable fuel at all. Source: USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0 (ImageServer, county extent). CAL FIRE has no mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone at **175** of the 175 sampled points — the zones cover Local Responsibility Areas, and most of this county is state or federal land. At **170** of them the USFS grid above supplied the hazard reading instead; at the remaining 5 the hazard weight is renormalised away rather than scored as low. 175 sample points on a ~2.3 km grid, plus one at the centre of each community, weighted with the Satelife county profile v1 · median layer coverage 90%. Scores are 0–100 and comparable within the county, not across states. For a property ## What a county range means for _one address_ Fire weather was not measured for Yavapai County in these scores. What is available countywide includes a modeled burn-probability view from the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities product. Its mean annual burn probability is listed as 0.36%, and 99.6% of the county is in areas that can burn. In that same USFS product, the higher-end burn-probability cell value is 0.74%, and mean conditional flame length is 7.35 feet. FEMA’s National Risk Index also rates county social vulnerability as Relatively High and community resilience as Very Low. Across 175 sampled points in Yavapai County, the score runs from 33.3 to 80.3 — two neighbouring parcels can sit in different tiers. A county number is the middle of that spread; it says nothing about which end yours is at. Find out where your Yavapai County parcel sits Slope, the fuel touching the structure, the road out, the fire history within a mile — measured at your address, not averaged across the county. Free to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan Coverage ## ZIP codes we cover in Yavapai County Every one of the 42 ZIP areas that touch Yavapai County — we run address-level reports in all of them. They are grouped by the median score of the points we sampled inside each, which is a neighbourhood-scale indicator and **not** a score for any property: two homes in the same ZIP routinely land in different tiers. **Very High** 1 ZIP - [86351 Cornville79](/wildfire-risk/zip/86351/) **High** 18 ZIPs - [86301 Prescott70](/wildfire-risk/zip/86301/) - [85324 Black Canyon City70](/wildfire-risk/zip/85324/) - [86327 Dewey-Humboldt65](/wildfire-risk/zip/86327/) - [86333 Cordes Lakes64](/wildfire-risk/zip/86333/) - [85362 Peeples Valley63](/wildfire-risk/zip/85362/) - [86303 Prescott62](/wildfire-risk/zip/86303/) - [86332 Peeples Valley61](/wildfire-risk/zip/86332/) - [85342 Black Canyon City57](/wildfire-risk/zip/85342/) - [86324 Jerome56](/wildfire-risk/zip/86324/) - [85390 Congress56](/wildfire-risk/zip/85390/) - [86336 Cornville56](/wildfire-risk/zip/86336/) - [86331 Jerome56](/wildfire-risk/zip/86331/) - [86338 Wilhoit55](/wildfire-risk/zip/86338/) - [85332 Congress52](/wildfire-risk/zip/85332/) - [86323 Chino Valley52](/wildfire-risk/zip/86323/) - [86322 Camp Verde51](/wildfire-risk/zip/86322/) - [86335 Lake Montezuma51](/wildfire-risk/zip/86335/) - [86334 Paulden50](/wildfire-risk/zip/86334/) **Moderate** 11 ZIPs - [85383 Black Canyon City50](/wildfire-risk/zip/85383/) - [86321 Bagdad49](/wildfire-risk/zip/86321/) - [86305 Williamson48](/wildfire-risk/zip/86305/) - [86329 Dewey-Humboldt48](/wildfire-risk/zip/86329/) - [86337 Seligman46](/wildfire-risk/zip/86337/) - [86434 46](/wildfire-risk/zip/86434/) - [86325 Cornville46](/wildfire-risk/zip/86325/) - [86320 Ash Fork45](/wildfire-risk/zip/86320/) - [86326 Verde Village41](/wildfire-risk/zip/86326/) - [86314 Prescott Valley40](/wildfire-risk/zip/86314/) - [86315 Prescott Valley39](/wildfire-risk/zip/86315/) **No sampled point inside** 12 ZIPs [85087 Black Canyon City](/wildfire-risk/zip/85087/) · [85263](/wildfire-risk/zip/85263/) · [85357](/wildfire-risk/zip/85357/) · [85360 Bagdad](/wildfire-risk/zip/85360/) · [85541](/wildfire-risk/zip/85541/) · [85544 Lake Montezuma](/wildfire-risk/zip/85544/) · [86024](/wildfire-risk/zip/86024/) · [86038 Lake Montezuma](/wildfire-risk/zip/86038/) · [86046 Ash Fork](/wildfire-risk/zip/86046/) · [86313 Prescott](/wildfire-risk/zip/86313/) · [86343 Black Canyon City](/wildfire-risk/zip/86343/) · [86401](/wildfire-risk/zip/86401/) Grouped from 30 of 42 ZIP areas — the rest had no sample point fall inside them. The community shown is the nearest mapped place to the ZIP's centre. ZIP areas are Census 2020 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas intersecting the county boundary. Where to go next ## Yavapai County wildfire risk _in context_ [Arizona wildfire risk The statewide picture and every county page we publish](/wildfire-risk/arizona/) [Wildfire risk by state Every state and county we cover](/wildfire-risk/) [How Satelife calculates wildfire risk Data sources, layers, score composition, honest limits](/wildfire-risk/methodology/) [Create a wildfire evacuation plan Zones, egress routes, refuge areas](/wildfire-evacuation-plan/) [Run a report for a Yavapai County address PDF + score + mitigation plan](/#cta) FAQ ## Frequently asked questions about _Yavapai County wildfire risk_ Is wildfire risk the same everywhere in Yavapai County? No. Scores range from 33.3 in Ash Fork to 80.3 in unincorporated Yavapai County, so exposure differs by location. Which fire was the largest, and what is the most recent large fire? The largest listed fire is Cave Creek Complex (2005), at 250,243 acres. The most recent large fire is Campwood (2026). How much of the county has burned since 1984? A total of 785,546 acres has burned since 1984, which is 15.2% of Yavapai County. What do FEMA’s county ratings say? FEMA’s National Risk Index rates Yavapai County wildfire risk as Relatively High, wildfire expected annual loss as Relatively High, all-hazards risk as Relatively Moderate, social vulnerability as Relatively High, and community resilience as Very Low. Do you include fire weather on this page? No. Fire weather was not measured for Yavapai County here. The page does include a USFS modeled burn-probability view, with a mean annual burn probability of 0.36%. This page is generated from a Yavapai County data pack assembled on 2026-09-05 (pack v1.0). Scores are sampled across the county, not measured at any individual address, and are informational decision support — not a substitute for official evacuation orders, a fire-agency hazard determination, or an insurer's underwriting judgement. Data versions: fema\_nri 1.20.0 (Dec 2025) · landfire per adapter · nifc\_history All Years View · wfigs current · wrc v2.0 (2024) · zcta Census 2020. ## What does _your parcel_ look like, layer by layer? A county range shows the spread. An address-level Satelife report shows where in that spread your property actually sits — PDF, per-layer score, and a prioritized mitigation plan. [Start with your address →](/#cta) [![PRR](/images/prr.png)](/ficha-de-website-voucher-satelife.pdf) © 2024–2026 Satelife, Lda. All rights reserved. Satelife reports are for informational purposes only and do not constitute insurance, financial, or legal advice.