{
  "title": "Wildfire Risk in Graham County, Arizona 2026 | Satelife",
  "description": "Wildfire risk in Graham County leans high in the places we scored. Most scored points fall in the High tier (117), with another 6 in Very High.",
  "image": "https://satelife.ai/images/wildfire-risk/arizona/graham-county/generated/graham-county-locator.webp",
  "canonical": "https://satelife.ai/wildfire-risk/arizona/graham-county/",
  "content": "[Home](/)›[Wildfire Risk](/wildfire-risk/)›[Arizona](/wildfire-risk/arizona/)›Graham County\n\nGraham County, Arizona\n\n# Wildfire risk in Graham County: _where it is highest_, and why\n\nWildfire risk in Graham County leans high in the places we scored. Most scored points fall in the High tier (117), with another 6 in Very High.\n\n[Score my Graham County address →](#score-my-address) [How risky is this county? ↓](#risk-at-a-glance)\n\nBefore 20002000s2010s2020sCommunity\n\nGraham County — the largest fires on record, at their perimeter centres, with the county’s main communities. Select a marker for its detail.\n\nAt a glance\n\n## Half of Graham County scores _High_ or worse\n\nWe scored 154 points across Graham County on the same 0–100 scale a Satelife address report uses, and they do not land in one place. 4% of them come out Very High, while 20% are Moderate. Which end your own parcel sits at is not something a county map can tell you.\n\n76%\n\n20%\n\n**Very High** 4% · 6 of 154 points **High** 76% · 117 of 154 points **Moderate** 20% · 31 of 154 points\n\nSafest end we measured 31.3 near Safford · Moderate\n\nMiddle of the county 57.5 High — half of Graham County is above this\n\nMost exposed end we measured 81.1 near unincorporated Graham County · Very High\n\n### And the federal models agree it is a fire county\n\nRelatively Moderate FEMA National Risk Index — wildfire risk rating · index score 94.3 / 100\n\n$2.2M / yr FEMA NRI — expected annual loss from wildfire · rated Relatively Moderate\n\n0.72% USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities — mean annual burn probability · 90th-percentile cell 1.22%\n\n6.99 ft USFS WRC — mean conditional flame length · 100% of the county carries burnable fuel\n\nFEMA NRI also rates Graham County: all-hazards risk Relatively Low · social vulnerability Relatively High · community resilience Very Low · annualised wildfire frequency 0.0056.\n\nSources: FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (Dec 2025), county record · USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0, mean of the grid cells inside the county. Both describe the county as a whole, never an address in it.\n\nWhat does your Graham County address score?\n\nA county range shows the spread. Your parcel sits somewhere inside it — the report says where, and what to do about it.\n\nFree to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan\n\nLocal context\n\n## What the data says about _Graham County_\n\nAcross the county, scored wildfire risk runs from 31.3 in Safford up to 81.1 in unincorporated Graham County. That spread means risk conditions are not the same from one area to another.\n\nFEMA’s National Risk Index rates countywide wildfire risk as Relatively Moderate, and wildfire expected annual loss as Relatively Moderate. In the same FEMA system, all-hazards risk is Relatively Low, social vulnerability is Relatively High, and community resilience is Very Low.\n\nFire record\n\n## Where the fires _actually were_\n\nThe largest fire listed here is the Frye fire (2017), at 48,443 acres. The most recent large fire is listed as Unknown 9999.\n\nSince 1984, 307,152 acres have burned in Graham County across 124 fire perimeters. That equals 10.4% of the county.\n\nOther major named fires include Pinnacle (2021) at 34,438 acres and Valley (2020) at 29,639 acres. The list also includes Rattlesnake (2018) and Gap (2019), showing multiple large fire years in and around the county record.\n\n![Frye Fire (2017) in Graham County, Arizona - The BLM Gila District's Safford Hand Crew works a burnout operation during the 2017 Frye Fire, Coronado National Forest, Arizona. ](/images/wildfire-risk/arizona/graham-county/photos/safford-hand-crew-during-the-2017-frye-fire.webp)\n\n**Frye Fire, 2017** — Graham County. Photo: Bureau of Land Management (BLM) Arizona · [Public domain](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Safford_Hand_Crew_during_the_2017_Frye_Fire.jpg)\n\n![Rattlesnake Fire (2018) in Graham County, Arizona - Apache National Forest sign along Hwy 260 between Eagar and Indian Pine, Arizona. Visible distant smoke can be seen from the Rattl](/images/wildfire-risk/arizona/graham-county/photos/apache-national-forest-sign-along-hwy-260-between-eagar-and-.webp)\n\n**Rattlesnake Fire, 2018** — Graham County. Photo: Forest Service Photography · [Public domain](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Apache_National_Forest_sign_along_Hwy_260_between_Eagar_and_Indian_Pine,_Arizona.jpg)\n\n124 mapped fire perimeters centred in the county since 1984\n\n307,152 acres inside those perimeters since 1984\n\n10.4% of the county's area, as a share of 11,977.4 km²\n\nUnknown 9999 most recent large fire on record\n\nBefore 20002000s2010s2020s \n\nFire perimeters coloured by decade. Select a perimeter for its name, year and size.\n\nNamed fires on record\n\n-   **Frye Fire**201748,443 acres\n-   **Pinnacle Fire**202134,438 acres\n-   **Valley Fire**202029,639 acres\n-   **Rattlesnake Fire**201826,068 acres\n-   **Nuttall Complex Fire**200429,393 acres\n-   **Gap Fire**201916,721 acres\n-   **Grapevine Fire**201218,351 acres\n-   **Oak Fire**201413,804 acres\n\nPerimeter sources: NIFC Interagency Fire Perimeter History · WFIGS Interagency Perimeters · largest on record: Frye 2017. Perimeters are simplified for display; acreage is the figure the source records.\n\nCommunities\n\n## Where in the county you are _matters most_\n\nAmong the named communities, Bylas / Hago'teele has the highest typical scored wildfire risk at 64.1. Safford is lower at 47.3.\n\nThatcher (58.3) and Pima (54.0) sit between those two. So even nearby communities can land in different risk ranges.\n\nSafford is the largest listed community (population 10,129), while Bylas / Hago'teele is smaller (1,782). In this county list, the larger city is not the one with the higher typical wildfire risk score.\n\nBylas / Hago'teele village · 1,782 people\n\n64.1 _High_\n\nThatcher town · 5,231 people\n\n58.3 _High_\n\nPima town · 2,847 people\n\n54 _High_\n\nSafford city · 10,129 people\n\n47.3 _Moderate_\n\nThe score is the median of the sampled points nearest that community — a community-scale indicator, not a score for any individual property in it. Population comes from the community's own record where the source carries one.\n\nTerrain & fuels\n\n## Terrain, vegetation and _fuels_\n\nTerrain scores are consistently elevated in the places we scored, ranging from 55.0 to 65.0. The top terrain score, 65.0, appears near Safford.\n\nVegetation and fuels vary more: scores run from 20.0 in Safford to 80.0 in unincorporated Graham County, with a county middle value of 77.6. In many places, fuels are a strong contributor to wildfire risk.\n\nFire weather was not measured for Graham County on this page. The county results here are based on measured terrain, vegetation and fuels, hazard zone, and fire history scores.\n\n65 median terrain score (max 65 near Safford)\n\n77.6 median vegetation & fuels score (max 80 near unincorporated Graham County)\n\nFire weather\n\n## Fire weather across _Graham County_\n\nFire weather was not measured at the sampled points in Graham County. The other four indicators on this page were, and the bars below show what they found.\n\nWhat drives it\n\n## Which part of the risk _moves_, and which doesn't\n\nWildfire risk is higher in some unincorporated areas than in the main towns. The highest scored location is in unincorporated Graham County (81.1), while the lowest scored location is in Safford (31.3).\n\nHazard-zone scores vary sharply by place, from 10.0 in Thatcher to 92.9 in unincorporated Graham County. This contributes to big differences in overall wildfire risk from one neighborhood area to another.\n\nFire-history scores also swing widely, from 5.0 in unincorporated Graham County to 95.0 near Safford. In this county, past-burn patterns are associated with local differences in present-day wildfire risk scores.\n\nEach bar is what one part of the score covers across Graham County, on the same 0–100 scale. A long bar is a part of the risk that depends on where you are; a short one is the same almost everywhere.\n\nTerrain\n\n55–65 highest near Safford\n\nVegetation & fuels\n\n20–80 highest near unincorporated Graham County\n\nHazard zone\n\n10–92.9 highest near unincorporated Graham County\n\nFire history\n\n5–95 highest near Safford\n\nOverall score\n\n31.3–81.1 highest near unincorporated Graham County\n\nThe tick on each bar is the middle value. Tier boundaries — Moderate at 25, High at 50, Very High at 75 — are the faint lines behind them.\n\nShow every number behind these bars\n\nLayer\n\nMin\n\nMedian\n\nMax\n\nLowest place\n\nHighest place\n\nPoints\n\nTerrain\n\n55\n\n65\n\n65\n\nunincorporated Graham County\n\nnear Safford\n\n154\n\nVegetation & fuels\n\n20\n\n77.6\n\n80\n\nSafford\n\nunincorporated Graham County\n\n154\n\nHazard zone\n\n10\n\n52\n\n92.9\n\nThatcher\n\nunincorporated Graham County\n\n154\n\nFire history\n\n5\n\n30\n\n95\n\nunincorporated Graham County\n\nnear Safford\n\n154\n\nComposite\n\n31.3\n\n57.5\n\n81.1\n\nSafford\n\nunincorporated Graham County\n\n154\n\nIndependently of Satelife's layers, the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities grid puts the county's mean annual burn probability at **0.72%** (90th percentile cell: **1.22%**), with a mean conditional flame length of **6.99 ft**. **100%** of the 28,184 grid cells inside the county carry burnable fuel at all.\n\nSource: USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0 (ImageServer, county extent).\n\nCAL FIRE has no mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone at **154** of the 154 sampled points — the zones cover Local Responsibility Areas, and most of this county is state or federal land. At **150** of them the USFS grid above supplied the hazard reading instead; at the remaining 4 the hazard weight is renormalised away rather than scored as low.\n\n154 sample points on a ~2.3 km grid, plus one at the centre of each community, weighted with the Satelife county profile v1 · median layer coverage 90%. Scores are 0–100 and comparable within the county, not across states.\n\nFor a property\n\n## What a county range means for _one address_\n\nFor the county overall, the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities product lists mean annual burn probability as 0.72%, and 1.22% at the 90th-percentile cell. It also indicates 99.7% of the county is in burnable area.\n\nThe same USFS product lists mean conditional flame length at 6.99 feet. Separately, local scoring in Graham County is concentrated in the High tier, with no scored points in the Low tier.\n\nFor a specific property, county context helps, but nearby areas can still differ a lot. In Graham County, local scores span from 31.3 to 81.1 depending on where the property sits.\n\nAcross 154 sampled points in Graham County, the score runs from 31.3 to 81.1 — two neighbouring parcels can sit in different tiers. A county number is the middle of that spread; it says nothing about which end yours is at.\n\nFind out where your Graham County parcel sits\n\nSlope, the fuel touching the structure, the road out, the fire history within a mile — measured at your address, not averaged across the county.\n\nFree to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan\n\nCoverage\n\n## ZIP codes we cover in Graham County\n\nEvery one of the 20 ZIP areas that touch Graham County — we run address-level reports in all of them. They are grouped by the median score of the points we sampled inside each, which is a neighbourhood-scale indicator and **not** a score for any property: two homes in the same ZIP routinely land in different tiers.\n\n**High** 8 ZIPs\n\n-   [85552 Thatcher63](/wildfire-risk/zip/85552/)\n-   [85536 Bylas / Hago'teele62](/wildfire-risk/zip/85536/)\n-   [85530 Bylas / Hago'teele61](/wildfire-risk/zip/85530/)\n-   [85542 Bylas / Hago'teele61](/wildfire-risk/zip/85542/)\n-   [85543 Pima58](/wildfire-risk/zip/85543/)\n-   [85643 57](/wildfire-risk/zip/85643/)\n-   [85533 57](/wildfire-risk/zip/85533/)\n-   [85546 Safford52](/wildfire-risk/zip/85546/)\n\n**Moderate** 1 ZIP\n\n-   [85551 Safford49](/wildfire-risk/zip/85551/)\n\n**No sampled point inside** 11 ZIPs\n\n[85192](/wildfire-risk/zip/85192/) · [85531 Thatcher](/wildfire-risk/zip/85531/) · [85534](/wildfire-risk/zip/85534/) · [85535 Pima](/wildfire-risk/zip/85535/) · [85540 Safford](/wildfire-risk/zip/85540/) · [85550](/wildfire-risk/zip/85550/) · [85602](/wildfire-risk/zip/85602/) · [85605](/wildfire-risk/zip/85605/) · [85618](/wildfire-risk/zip/85618/) · [85631](/wildfire-risk/zip/85631/) · [85632](/wildfire-risk/zip/85632/)\n\nGrouped from 9 of 20 ZIP areas — the rest had no sample point fall inside them. The community shown is the nearest mapped place to the ZIP's centre.\n\nZIP areas are Census 2020 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas intersecting the county boundary.\n\nWhere to go next\n\n## Graham County wildfire risk _in context_\n\n[Arizona wildfire risk The statewide picture and every county page we publish](/wildfire-risk/arizona/) [Wildfire risk by state Every state and county we cover](/wildfire-risk/) [How Satelife calculates wildfire risk Data sources, layers, score composition, honest limits](/wildfire-risk/methodology/) [Create a wildfire evacuation plan Zones, egress routes, refuge areas](/wildfire-evacuation-plan/) [Run a report for a Graham County address PDF + score + mitigation plan](/#cta)\n\nFAQ\n\n## Frequently asked questions about _Graham County wildfire risk_\n\nWhat is the biggest fire listed for Graham County?\n\nThe largest listed fire is Frye (2017), at 48,443 acres.\n\nWhat is the most recent large fire?\n\nIt is listed as Unknown 9999 in the county fire statistics.\n\nHow much of Graham County has burned since 1984?\n\n307,152 acres have burned since 1984, which is 10.4% of the county.\n\nDo wildfire risk levels differ across Graham County communities?\n\nYes. Typical scored values range from 47.3 in Safford to 64.1 in Bylas / Hago'teele, with Thatcher at 58.3 and Pima at 54.0.\n\nIs fire weather included in these county scores?\n\nNo. Fire weather was not measured for this county page.\n\nThis page is generated from a Graham County data pack assembled on 2026-09-05 (pack v1.0). Scores are sampled across the county, not measured at any individual address, and are informational decision support — not a substitute for official evacuation orders, a fire-agency hazard determination, or an insurer's underwriting judgement. Data versions: fema\\_nri 1.20.0 (Dec 2025) · landfire per adapter · nifc\\_history All Years View · wfigs current · wrc v2.0 (2024) · zcta Census 2020.\n\n## What does _your parcel_ look like, layer by layer?\n\nA county range shows the spread. An address-level Satelife report shows where in that spread your property actually sits — PDF, per-layer score, and a prioritized mitigation plan.\n\n[Start with your address →](/#cta)\n\n[![PRR](/images/prr.png)](/ficha-de-website-voucher-satelife.pdf)\n\n© 2024–2026 Satelife, Lda. All rights reserved.\n\nSatelife reports are for informational purposes only and do not constitute insurance, financial, or legal advice."
}