--- title: "Wildfire Risk in Apache County, Arizona 2026 | Satelife" description: "Wildfire risk scores on this page run from 0 to 100, with higher scores meaning more exposure. For Apache County, the middle score across the places we scored is 47.1." image: "https://satelife.ai/images/wildfire-risk/arizona/apache-county/generated/apache-county-locator.webp" canonical: "https://satelife.ai/wildfire-risk/arizona/apache-county/" --- [Home](/)›[Wildfire Risk](/wildfire-risk/)›[Arizona](/wildfire-risk/arizona/)›Apache County Apache County, Arizona # Wildfire risk in Apache County: _where it is highest_, and why Wildfire risk scores on this page run from 0 to 100, with higher scores meaning more exposure. For Apache County, the middle score across the places we scored is 47.1. [Score my Apache County address →](#score-my-address) [How risky is this county? ↓](#risk-at-a-glance) Before 20002000s2010s2020sCommunity Apache County — the largest fires on record, at their perimeter centres, with the county’s main communities. Select a marker for its detail. At a glance ## Half of Apache County scores _Moderate_ or worse We scored 190 points across Apache County on the same 0–100 scale a Satelife address report uses, and they do not land in one place. 4% of them come out Very High, while 1% are Low. Which end your own parcel sits at is not something a county map can tell you. 32% 64% **Very High** 4% · 7 of 190 points **High** 32% · 60 of 190 points **Moderate** 64% · 122 of 190 points **Low** 1% · 1 of 190 points Safest end we measured 23.7 near Chinle · Low Middle of the county 47.1 Moderate — half of Apache County is above this Most exposed end we measured 80.8 near Alpine · Very High ### And the federal models agree it is a fire county Relatively High FEMA National Risk Index — wildfire risk rating · index score 97.9 / 100 $6.0M / yr FEMA NRI — expected annual loss from wildfire · rated Relatively Moderate 0.29% USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities — mean annual burn probability · 90th-percentile cell 0.81% 5.97 ft USFS WRC — mean conditional flame length · 99% of the county carries burnable fuel FEMA NRI also rates Apache County: all-hazards risk Relatively Low · social vulnerability Very High · community resilience Very Low · annualised wildfire frequency 0.0060. Sources: FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (Dec 2025), county record · USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0, mean of the grid cells inside the county. Both describe the county as a whole, never an address in it. What does your Apache County address score? A county range shows the spread. Your parcel sits somewhere inside it — the report says where, and what to do about it. Free to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan Local context ## What the data says about _Apache County_ Across the county’s scored places, risk varies a lot: the lowest scored point is 23.7 in Chinle, and the highest is 80.8 in Alpine. Most scored points fall in the Moderate tier (122 points), followed by High (60 points) and Very High (7 points). Fire record ## Where the fires _actually were_ The largest fire in this county record is the Wallow fire in 2011, at 538,052 acres. The most recent large fire is Greer in 2025, at 20,308 acres. Since 1984, recorded fire perimeters in Apache County add up to 629,096 acres burned. That equals 8.8% of the county, across 127 fire perimeters. ![Wallow Fire (2011) in Apache County, Arizona - Burned trees in the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Forest Service (FS) Apache-Sitgreaves National Forests' (Apache National](/images/wildfire-risk/arizona/apache-county/photos/20181207-fs-apache-sitgreaves-lsc-0420-47242115951.webp) **Wallow Fire, 2011** — Apache County. Photo: U.S. Department of Agriculture Lance Cheung/Multimedia PhotoJournalist/USDA Photo by Lance Cheung. · [Public domain](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:20181207-FS-APACHE-SITGREAVES-LSC-0420_\(47242115951\).jpg) ![Wood Springs 2 Fire (2020) in Apache County, Arizona - Decontamination of vehicle, Wood Springs 2 Fire, Navajo Nation, Arizona. (Forest Service photo by Carrie Templin)](/images/wildfire-risk/arizona/apache-county/photos/wood-springs-2-fire-20200708-fs-arizona-decon-ct-2.webp) **Wood Springs 2 Fire, 2020** — Apache County. Photo: Forest Service Photography · [Public domain](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Wood_Springs_2_Fire_\(20200708-FS-Arizona-DeCon-CT-2\).jpg) 127 mapped fire perimeters centred in the county since 1984 629,096 acres inside those perimeters since 1984 8.8% of the county's area, as a share of 28,923.6 km² Greer 2025 most recent large fire on record Before 20002000s2010s2020s Fire perimeters coloured by decade. Select a perimeter for its name, year and size. Named fires on record - **Wallow Fire**2011538,052 acres - **Greer Fire**202520,308 acres - **Wood Springs 2 Fire**202012,862 acres - **Oak Ridge Fire**202511,027 acres - **Turkey Fire**20109,003 acres - **San Juan Fire**20147,003 acres - **Three Forks Fire**20047,742 acres - **McDonald Tank Fire**20213,549 acres Perimeter sources: NIFC Interagency Fire Perimeter History · WFIGS Interagency Perimeters · largest on record: Wallow 2011. Perimeters are simplified for display; acreage is the figure the source records. Communities ## Where in the county you are _matters most_ Community medians show clear local differences. Eagar is 60.8 while Chinle is 44.3, so two towns in the same county can sit in different risk tiers. Springerville (60.5) and Alpine (58.7) are among the higher community medians shown here, while Ganado (35.8) and Saint Michaels (35.2) are among the lower ones. In the central range, places such as Flat Rock (46.9), Rock Point (47.8), and Tsaile (47.3) cluster near the county’s middle band rather than the extremes. Eagar town · 4,395 people 60.8 _High_ Springerville village · 1,717 people 60.5 _High_ Alpine village · 146 people 58.7 _High_ Kinlichee village 54.7 _High_ Nazlini village · 505 people 54 _High_ Houck village 53.7 _High_ Sand Springs village 52 _High_ Hunters Point village 51.2 _High_ Dennehotso village · 746 people 51 _High_ Red Mesa / Tsé Łichííʼ Dah Azkání village 48.9 _Moderate_ 30 more communities in Apache County Sanders village 48.9 _Moderate_ Rock Point village 47.8 _Moderate_ Tsaile village 47.3 _Moderate_ Flat Rock village 46.9 _Moderate_ Steamboat village 46.8 _Moderate_ Many Farms village 46.6 _Moderate_ Sawmill village 45.4 _Moderate_ Nahata Dziil village 44.6 _Moderate_ Chinle town · 4,518 people 44.3 _Moderate_ Window Rock town · 3,059 people 43.2 _Moderate_ Lukachukai village 42.9 _Moderate_ Wheatfields village 42.8 _Moderate_ Lupton village 42.5 _Moderate_ Chambers village 42.2 _Moderate_ Klagetoh village 41.7 _Moderate_ Mexican Water village 41.2 _Moderate_ Rough Rock village 41 _Moderate_ Wide Ruins village 40.9 _Moderate_ Cornfields village 40.4 _Moderate_ Saint Johns town · 3,480 people 40.3 _Moderate_ Cove village 40.2 _Moderate_ Oak Springs village 40.1 _Moderate_ Round Rock village 40.1 _Moderate_ Salina village 40 _Moderate_ Cottonwood village 39.2 _Moderate_ Fort Defiance town · 3,624 people 38.1 _Moderate_ Burnside village · 494 people 37.9 _Moderate_ Ganado town · 1,210 people 35.8 _Moderate_ Saint Michaels village 35.2 _Moderate_ Red Rock village 33.3 _Moderate_ The score is the median of the sampled points nearest that community — a community-scale indicator, not a score for any individual property in it. Population comes from the community's own record where the source carries one. Terrain & fuels ## Terrain, vegetation and _fuels_ Fire weather was not measured at all for Apache County on this page. What was measured countywide includes terrain, where scores run from 30.0 near Eagar to 65.0 at Sand Springs, with a middle value of 55.0. Vegetation and fuels are generally elevated in this county’s scores, with a middle value of 74.0, peaking at 80.0 near Springerville and dropping to 20.0 in Chinle. Hazard-zone scores span from 10.0 to 96.1 in unincorporated Apache County, and fire-history scores run from 5.0 to 95.0, with the high point near Alpine. These factors contribute to why nearby places can score differently. 55 median terrain score (max 65 near Sand Springs) 74 median vegetation & fuels score (max 80 near Springerville) Fire weather ## Fire weather across _Apache County_ Fire weather was not measured at the sampled points in Apache County. The other four indicators on this page were, and the bars below show what they found. What drives it ## Which part of the risk _moves_, and which doesn't Risk is not one single county number in day-to-day terms; it shifts by location. In the communities listed here, Eagar (60.8) and Springerville (60.5) sit near the higher end. Fort Defiance (38.1), Saint Johns (40.3), and Window Rock (43.2) are lower than those eastern mountain communities. Several villages also score on the higher side, including Alpine (58.7), Kinlichee (54.7), and Nazlini (54.0). Each bar is what one part of the score covers across Apache County, on the same 0–100 scale. A long bar is a part of the risk that depends on where you are; a short one is the same almost everywhere. Terrain 30–65 highest near Sand Springs Vegetation & fuels 20–80 highest near Springerville Hazard zone 10–96.1 highest near unincorporated Apache County Fire history 5–95 highest near Alpine Overall score 23.7–80.8 highest near Alpine The tick on each bar is the middle value. Tier boundaries — Moderate at 25, High at 50, Very High at 75 — are the faint lines behind them. Show every number behind these bars Layer Min Median Max Lowest place Highest place Points Terrain 30 55 65 near Eagar Sand Springs 186 Vegetation & fuels 20 74 80 Chinle near Springerville 190 Hazard zone 10 32.9 96.1 unincorporated Apache County unincorporated Apache County 190 Fire history 5 5 95 unincorporated Apache County near Alpine 190 Composite 23.7 47.1 80.8 Chinle Alpine 190 Independently of Satelife's layers, the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities grid puts the county's mean annual burn probability at **0.29%** (90th percentile cell: **0.81%**), with a mean conditional flame length of **5.97 ft**. **99%** of the 34,292 grid cells inside the county carry burnable fuel at all. Source: USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0 (ImageServer, county extent). CAL FIRE has no mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone at **190** of the 190 sampled points — the zones cover Local Responsibility Areas, and most of this county is state or federal land. At **157** of them the USFS grid above supplied the hazard reading instead; at the remaining 33 the hazard weight is renormalised away rather than scored as low. 190 sample points on a ~2.3 km grid, plus one at the centre of each community, weighted with the Satelife county profile v1 · median layer coverage 90%. Scores are 0–100 and comparable within the county, not across states. For a property ## What a county range means for _one address_ For countywide context, the U.S. Forest Service wildfire-risk model lists mean annual burn probability as 0.29, with a 90th-percentile cell value of 0.81. This is a modeled burn-probability product, not fire weather. That same model indicates 99.4% of Apache County can burn, and lists mean conditional flame length at 5.97 feet. FEMA’s National Risk Index rates Apache County’s wildfire risk as Relatively High, and its wildfire expected annual loss as Relatively Moderate. FEMA also rates the county’s all-hazards risk as Relatively Low, with social vulnerability rated Very High and community resilience rated Very Low. Across 190 sampled points in Apache County, the score runs from 23.7 to 80.8 — two neighbouring parcels can sit in different tiers. A county number is the middle of that spread; it says nothing about which end yours is at. Find out where your Apache County parcel sits Slope, the fuel touching the structure, the road out, the fire history within a mile — measured at your address, not averaged across the county. Free to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan Coverage ## ZIP codes we cover in Apache County Every one of the 51 ZIP areas that touch Apache County — we run address-level reports in all of them. They are grouped by the median score of the points we sampled inside each, which is a neighbourhood-scale indicator and **not** a score for any property: two homes in the same ZIP routinely land in different tiers. **High** 10 ZIPs - [85940 69](/wildfire-risk/zip/85940/) - [85927 Eagar68](/wildfire-risk/zip/85927/) - [85925 Eagar65](/wildfire-risk/zip/85925/) - [85938 Springerville64](/wildfire-risk/zip/85938/) - [85932 Alpine61](/wildfire-risk/zip/85932/) - [85930 57](/wildfire-risk/zip/85930/) - [85920 Alpine55](/wildfire-risk/zip/85920/) - [86512 Nahata Dziil53](/wildfire-risk/zip/86512/) - [86540 Nazlini51](/wildfire-risk/zip/86540/) - [86535 Dennehotso51](/wildfire-risk/zip/86535/) **Moderate** 20 ZIPs - [86506 Houck49](/wildfire-risk/zip/86506/) - [86502 Chambers49](/wildfire-risk/zip/86502/) - [85924 Saint Johns48](/wildfire-risk/zip/85924/) - [86545 Rock Point47](/wildfire-risk/zip/86545/) - [86538 Many Farms47](/wildfire-risk/zip/86538/) - [86034 Steamboat46](/wildfire-risk/zip/86034/) - [84531 Mexican Water45](/wildfire-risk/zip/84531/) - [86514 Red Mesa / Tsé Łichííʼ Dah Azkání45](/wildfire-risk/zip/86514/) - [86556 Tsaile45](/wildfire-risk/zip/86556/) - [85936 Saint Johns44](/wildfire-risk/zip/85936/) - [86504 Sawmill44](/wildfire-risk/zip/86504/) - [86505 Cornfields44](/wildfire-risk/zip/86505/) - [86515 Window Rock43](/wildfire-risk/zip/86515/) - [86503 Chinle43](/wildfire-risk/zip/86503/) - [86508 Lupton40](/wildfire-risk/zip/86508/) - [86511 Saint Michaels40](/wildfire-risk/zip/86511/) - [86520 Cottonwood40](/wildfire-risk/zip/86520/) - [86544 Cove39](/wildfire-risk/zip/86544/) - [86547 Round Rock39](/wildfire-risk/zip/86547/) - [86507 Lukachukai37](/wildfire-risk/zip/86507/) **No sampled point inside** 21 ZIPs [84512 Mexican Water](/wildfire-risk/zip/84512/) · [85533](/wildfire-risk/zip/85533/) · [85901](/wildfire-risk/zip/85901/) · [85912](/wildfire-risk/zip/85912/) · [85922 Alpine](/wildfire-risk/zip/85922/) · [85929](/wildfire-risk/zip/85929/) · [85935](/wildfire-risk/zip/85935/) · [85937](/wildfire-risk/zip/85937/) · [85941](/wildfire-risk/zip/85941/) · [86025](/wildfire-risk/zip/86025/) · [86028 Chambers](/wildfire-risk/zip/86028/) · [86033](/wildfire-risk/zip/86033/) · [86510 Cottonwood](/wildfire-risk/zip/86510/) · [87319 Hunters Point](/wildfire-risk/zip/87319/) · [87326 Lupton](/wildfire-risk/zip/87326/) · [87327](/wildfire-risk/zip/87327/) · [87328 Sawmill](/wildfire-risk/zip/87328/) · [87420 Red Rock](/wildfire-risk/zip/87420/) · [87455 Wheatfields](/wildfire-risk/zip/87455/) · [87824 Alpine](/wildfire-risk/zip/87824/) · [87829](/wildfire-risk/zip/87829/) Grouped from 30 of 51 ZIP areas — the rest had no sample point fall inside them. The community shown is the nearest mapped place to the ZIP's centre. ZIP areas are Census 2020 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas intersecting the county boundary. Where to go next ## Apache County wildfire risk _in context_ [Arizona wildfire risk The statewide picture and every county page we publish](/wildfire-risk/arizona/) [Wildfire risk by state Every state and county we cover](/wildfire-risk/) [How Satelife calculates wildfire risk Data sources, layers, score composition, honest limits](/wildfire-risk/methodology/) [Create a wildfire evacuation plan Zones, egress routes, refuge areas](/wildfire-evacuation-plan/) [Run a report for a Apache County address PDF + score + mitigation plan](/#cta) FAQ ## Frequently asked questions about _Apache County wildfire risk_ What is the largest fire listed for Apache County? Wallow (2011) is the largest listed fire, at 538,052 acres. What is the most recent large fire listed? Greer (2025) is the most recent large fire listed, at 20,308 acres. Was fire weather measured across Apache County here? No. Fire weather was not measured at all on this page for Apache County. How much of Apache County has burned since 1984? 8.8% of the county has burned since 1984, totaling 629,096 acres across 127 recorded fire perimeters. Are FEMA ratings local to each town? No. FEMA’s National Risk Index ratings shown here apply to Apache County as a whole, not to individual towns or neighborhoods. This page is generated from a Apache County data pack assembled on 2026-09-05 (pack v1.0). Scores are sampled across the county, not measured at any individual address, and are informational decision support — not a substitute for official evacuation orders, a fire-agency hazard determination, or an insurer's underwriting judgement. Data versions: fema\_nri 1.20.0 (Dec 2025) · landfire per adapter · nifc\_history All Years View · wfigs current · wrc v2.0 (2024) · zcta Census 2020. ## What does _your parcel_ look like, layer by layer? A county range shows the spread. An address-level Satelife report shows where in that spread your property actually sits — PDF, per-layer score, and a prioritized mitigation plan. [Start with your address →](/#cta) [![PRR](/images/prr.png)](/ficha-de-website-voucher-satelife.pdf) © 2024–2026 Satelife, Lda. All rights reserved. Satelife reports are for informational purposes only and do not constitute insurance, financial, or legal advice.