{
  "title": "Wildfire Risk in Apache County, Arizona 2026 | Satelife",
  "description": "Wildfire risk scores on this page run from 0 to 100, with higher scores meaning more exposure. For Apache County, the middle score across the places we scored is 47.1.",
  "image": "https://satelife.ai/images/wildfire-risk/arizona/apache-county/generated/apache-county-locator.webp",
  "canonical": "https://satelife.ai/wildfire-risk/arizona/apache-county/",
  "content": "[Home](/)›[Wildfire Risk](/wildfire-risk/)›[Arizona](/wildfire-risk/arizona/)›Apache County\n\nApache County, Arizona\n\n# Wildfire risk in Apache County: _where it is highest_, and why\n\nWildfire risk scores on this page run from 0 to 100, with higher scores meaning more exposure. For Apache County, the middle score across the places we scored is 47.1.\n\n[Score my Apache County address →](#score-my-address) [How risky is this county? ↓](#risk-at-a-glance)\n\nBefore 20002000s2010s2020sCommunity\n\nApache County — the largest fires on record, at their perimeter centres, with the county’s main communities. Select a marker for its detail.\n\nAt a glance\n\n## Half of Apache County scores _Moderate_ or worse\n\nWe scored 190 points across Apache County on the same 0–100 scale a Satelife address report uses, and they do not land in one place. 4% of them come out Very High, while 1% are Low. Which end your own parcel sits at is not something a county map can tell you.\n\n32%\n\n64%\n\n**Very High** 4% · 7 of 190 points **High** 32% · 60 of 190 points **Moderate** 64% · 122 of 190 points **Low** 1% · 1 of 190 points\n\nSafest end we measured 23.7 near Chinle · Low\n\nMiddle of the county 47.1 Moderate — half of Apache County is above this\n\nMost exposed end we measured 80.8 near Alpine · Very High\n\n### And the federal models agree it is a fire county\n\nRelatively High FEMA National Risk Index — wildfire risk rating · index score 97.9 / 100\n\n$6.0M / yr FEMA NRI — expected annual loss from wildfire · rated Relatively Moderate\n\n0.29% USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities — mean annual burn probability · 90th-percentile cell 0.81%\n\n5.97 ft USFS WRC — mean conditional flame length · 99% of the county carries burnable fuel\n\nFEMA NRI also rates Apache County: all-hazards risk Relatively Low · social vulnerability Very High · community resilience Very Low · annualised wildfire frequency 0.0060.\n\nSources: FEMA National Risk Index 1.20.0 (Dec 2025), county record · USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0, mean of the grid cells inside the county. Both describe the county as a whole, never an address in it.\n\nWhat does your Apache County address score?\n\nA county range shows the spread. Your parcel sits somewhere inside it — the report says where, and what to do about it.\n\nFree to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan\n\nLocal context\n\n## What the data says about _Apache County_\n\nAcross the county’s scored places, risk varies a lot: the lowest scored point is 23.7 in Chinle, and the highest is 80.8 in Alpine.\n\nMost scored points fall in the Moderate tier (122 points), followed by High (60 points) and Very High (7 points).\n\nFire record\n\n## Where the fires _actually were_\n\nThe largest fire in this county record is the Wallow fire in 2011, at 538,052 acres.\n\nThe most recent large fire is Greer in 2025, at 20,308 acres.\n\nSince 1984, recorded fire perimeters in Apache County add up to 629,096 acres burned. That equals 8.8% of the county, across 127 fire perimeters.\n\n![Wallow Fire (2011) in Apache County, Arizona - Burned trees in the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Forest Service (FS) Apache-Sitgreaves National Forests' (Apache National](/images/wildfire-risk/arizona/apache-county/photos/20181207-fs-apache-sitgreaves-lsc-0420-47242115951.webp)\n\n**Wallow Fire, 2011** — Apache County. Photo: U.S. Department of Agriculture Lance Cheung/Multimedia PhotoJournalist/USDA Photo by Lance Cheung. · [Public domain](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:20181207-FS-APACHE-SITGREAVES-LSC-0420_\\(47242115951\\).jpg)\n\n![Wood Springs 2 Fire (2020) in Apache County, Arizona - Decontamination of vehicle, Wood Springs 2 Fire, Navajo Nation, Arizona. (Forest Service photo by Carrie Templin)](/images/wildfire-risk/arizona/apache-county/photos/wood-springs-2-fire-20200708-fs-arizona-decon-ct-2.webp)\n\n**Wood Springs 2 Fire, 2020** — Apache County. Photo: Forest Service Photography · [Public domain](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Wood_Springs_2_Fire_\\(20200708-FS-Arizona-DeCon-CT-2\\).jpg)\n\n127 mapped fire perimeters centred in the county since 1984\n\n629,096 acres inside those perimeters since 1984\n\n8.8% of the county's area, as a share of 28,923.6 km²\n\nGreer 2025 most recent large fire on record\n\nBefore 20002000s2010s2020s \n\nFire perimeters coloured by decade. Select a perimeter for its name, year and size.\n\nNamed fires on record\n\n-   **Wallow Fire**2011538,052 acres\n-   **Greer Fire**202520,308 acres\n-   **Wood Springs 2 Fire**202012,862 acres\n-   **Oak Ridge Fire**202511,027 acres\n-   **Turkey Fire**20109,003 acres\n-   **San Juan Fire**20147,003 acres\n-   **Three Forks Fire**20047,742 acres\n-   **McDonald Tank Fire**20213,549 acres\n\nPerimeter sources: NIFC Interagency Fire Perimeter History · WFIGS Interagency Perimeters · largest on record: Wallow 2011. Perimeters are simplified for display; acreage is the figure the source records.\n\nCommunities\n\n## Where in the county you are _matters most_\n\nCommunity medians show clear local differences. Eagar is 60.8 while Chinle is 44.3, so two towns in the same county can sit in different risk tiers.\n\nSpringerville (60.5) and Alpine (58.7) are among the higher community medians shown here, while Ganado (35.8) and Saint Michaels (35.2) are among the lower ones.\n\nIn the central range, places such as Flat Rock (46.9), Rock Point (47.8), and Tsaile (47.3) cluster near the county’s middle band rather than the extremes.\n\nEagar town · 4,395 people\n\n60.8 _High_\n\nSpringerville village · 1,717 people\n\n60.5 _High_\n\nAlpine village · 146 people\n\n58.7 _High_\n\nKinlichee village\n\n54.7 _High_\n\nNazlini village · 505 people\n\n54 _High_\n\nHouck village\n\n53.7 _High_\n\nSand Springs village\n\n52 _High_\n\nHunters Point village\n\n51.2 _High_\n\nDennehotso village · 746 people\n\n51 _High_\n\nRed Mesa / Tsé Łichííʼ Dah Azkání village\n\n48.9 _Moderate_\n\n30 more communities in Apache County\n\nSanders village\n\n48.9 _Moderate_\n\nRock Point village\n\n47.8 _Moderate_\n\nTsaile village\n\n47.3 _Moderate_\n\nFlat Rock village\n\n46.9 _Moderate_\n\nSteamboat village\n\n46.8 _Moderate_\n\nMany Farms village\n\n46.6 _Moderate_\n\nSawmill village\n\n45.4 _Moderate_\n\nNahata Dziil village\n\n44.6 _Moderate_\n\nChinle town · 4,518 people\n\n44.3 _Moderate_\n\nWindow Rock town · 3,059 people\n\n43.2 _Moderate_\n\nLukachukai village\n\n42.9 _Moderate_\n\nWheatfields village\n\n42.8 _Moderate_\n\nLupton village\n\n42.5 _Moderate_\n\nChambers village\n\n42.2 _Moderate_\n\nKlagetoh village\n\n41.7 _Moderate_\n\nMexican Water village\n\n41.2 _Moderate_\n\nRough Rock village\n\n41 _Moderate_\n\nWide Ruins village\n\n40.9 _Moderate_\n\nCornfields village\n\n40.4 _Moderate_\n\nSaint Johns town · 3,480 people\n\n40.3 _Moderate_\n\nCove village\n\n40.2 _Moderate_\n\nOak Springs village\n\n40.1 _Moderate_\n\nRound Rock village\n\n40.1 _Moderate_\n\nSalina village\n\n40 _Moderate_\n\nCottonwood village\n\n39.2 _Moderate_\n\nFort Defiance town · 3,624 people\n\n38.1 _Moderate_\n\nBurnside village · 494 people\n\n37.9 _Moderate_\n\nGanado town · 1,210 people\n\n35.8 _Moderate_\n\nSaint Michaels village\n\n35.2 _Moderate_\n\nRed Rock village\n\n33.3 _Moderate_\n\nThe score is the median of the sampled points nearest that community — a community-scale indicator, not a score for any individual property in it. Population comes from the community's own record where the source carries one.\n\nTerrain & fuels\n\n## Terrain, vegetation and _fuels_\n\nFire weather was not measured at all for Apache County on this page.\n\nWhat was measured countywide includes terrain, where scores run from 30.0 near Eagar to 65.0 at Sand Springs, with a middle value of 55.0.\n\nVegetation and fuels are generally elevated in this county’s scores, with a middle value of 74.0, peaking at 80.0 near Springerville and dropping to 20.0 in Chinle.\n\nHazard-zone scores span from 10.0 to 96.1 in unincorporated Apache County, and fire-history scores run from 5.0 to 95.0, with the high point near Alpine. These factors contribute to why nearby places can score differently.\n\n55 median terrain score (max 65 near Sand Springs)\n\n74 median vegetation & fuels score (max 80 near Springerville)\n\nFire weather\n\n## Fire weather across _Apache County_\n\nFire weather was not measured at the sampled points in Apache County. The other four indicators on this page were, and the bars below show what they found.\n\nWhat drives it\n\n## Which part of the risk _moves_, and which doesn't\n\nRisk is not one single county number in day-to-day terms; it shifts by location. In the communities listed here, Eagar (60.8) and Springerville (60.5) sit near the higher end.\n\nFort Defiance (38.1), Saint Johns (40.3), and Window Rock (43.2) are lower than those eastern mountain communities.\n\nSeveral villages also score on the higher side, including Alpine (58.7), Kinlichee (54.7), and Nazlini (54.0).\n\nEach bar is what one part of the score covers across Apache County, on the same 0–100 scale. A long bar is a part of the risk that depends on where you are; a short one is the same almost everywhere.\n\nTerrain\n\n30–65 highest near Sand Springs\n\nVegetation & fuels\n\n20–80 highest near Springerville\n\nHazard zone\n\n10–96.1 highest near unincorporated Apache County\n\nFire history\n\n5–95 highest near Alpine\n\nOverall score\n\n23.7–80.8 highest near Alpine\n\nThe tick on each bar is the middle value. Tier boundaries — Moderate at 25, High at 50, Very High at 75 — are the faint lines behind them.\n\nShow every number behind these bars\n\nLayer\n\nMin\n\nMedian\n\nMax\n\nLowest place\n\nHighest place\n\nPoints\n\nTerrain\n\n30\n\n55\n\n65\n\nnear Eagar\n\nSand Springs\n\n186\n\nVegetation & fuels\n\n20\n\n74\n\n80\n\nChinle\n\nnear Springerville\n\n190\n\nHazard zone\n\n10\n\n32.9\n\n96.1\n\nunincorporated Apache County\n\nunincorporated Apache County\n\n190\n\nFire history\n\n5\n\n5\n\n95\n\nunincorporated Apache County\n\nnear Alpine\n\n190\n\nComposite\n\n23.7\n\n47.1\n\n80.8\n\nChinle\n\nAlpine\n\n190\n\nIndependently of Satelife's layers, the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities grid puts the county's mean annual burn probability at **0.29%** (90th percentile cell: **0.81%**), with a mean conditional flame length of **5.97 ft**. **99%** of the 34,292 grid cells inside the county carry burnable fuel at all.\n\nSource: USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities v2.0 (ImageServer, county extent).\n\nCAL FIRE has no mapped Fire Hazard Severity Zone at **190** of the 190 sampled points — the zones cover Local Responsibility Areas, and most of this county is state or federal land. At **157** of them the USFS grid above supplied the hazard reading instead; at the remaining 33 the hazard weight is renormalised away rather than scored as low.\n\n190 sample points on a ~2.3 km grid, plus one at the centre of each community, weighted with the Satelife county profile v1 · median layer coverage 90%. Scores are 0–100 and comparable within the county, not across states.\n\nFor a property\n\n## What a county range means for _one address_\n\nFor countywide context, the U.S. Forest Service wildfire-risk model lists mean annual burn probability as 0.29, with a 90th-percentile cell value of 0.81. This is a modeled burn-probability product, not fire weather.\n\nThat same model indicates 99.4% of Apache County can burn, and lists mean conditional flame length at 5.97 feet.\n\nFEMA’s National Risk Index rates Apache County’s wildfire risk as Relatively High, and its wildfire expected annual loss as Relatively Moderate.\n\nFEMA also rates the county’s all-hazards risk as Relatively Low, with social vulnerability rated Very High and community resilience rated Very Low.\n\nAcross 190 sampled points in Apache County, the score runs from 23.7 to 80.8 — two neighbouring parcels can sit in different tiers. A county number is the middle of that spread; it says nothing about which end yours is at.\n\nFind out where your Apache County parcel sits\n\nSlope, the fuel touching the structure, the road out, the fire history within a mile — measured at your address, not averaged across the county.\n\nFree to request · PDF report with a 0–100 score, the drivers behind it, and a mitigation plan\n\nCoverage\n\n## ZIP codes we cover in Apache County\n\nEvery one of the 51 ZIP areas that touch Apache County — we run address-level reports in all of them. They are grouped by the median score of the points we sampled inside each, which is a neighbourhood-scale indicator and **not** a score for any property: two homes in the same ZIP routinely land in different tiers.\n\n**High** 10 ZIPs\n\n-   [85940 69](/wildfire-risk/zip/85940/)\n-   [85927 Eagar68](/wildfire-risk/zip/85927/)\n-   [85925 Eagar65](/wildfire-risk/zip/85925/)\n-   [85938 Springerville64](/wildfire-risk/zip/85938/)\n-   [85932 Alpine61](/wildfire-risk/zip/85932/)\n-   [85930 57](/wildfire-risk/zip/85930/)\n-   [85920 Alpine55](/wildfire-risk/zip/85920/)\n-   [86512 Nahata Dziil53](/wildfire-risk/zip/86512/)\n-   [86540 Nazlini51](/wildfire-risk/zip/86540/)\n-   [86535 Dennehotso51](/wildfire-risk/zip/86535/)\n\n**Moderate** 20 ZIPs\n\n-   [86506 Houck49](/wildfire-risk/zip/86506/)\n-   [86502 Chambers49](/wildfire-risk/zip/86502/)\n-   [85924 Saint Johns48](/wildfire-risk/zip/85924/)\n-   [86545 Rock Point47](/wildfire-risk/zip/86545/)\n-   [86538 Many Farms47](/wildfire-risk/zip/86538/)\n-   [86034 Steamboat46](/wildfire-risk/zip/86034/)\n-   [84531 Mexican Water45](/wildfire-risk/zip/84531/)\n-   [86514 Red Mesa / Tsé Łichííʼ Dah Azkání45](/wildfire-risk/zip/86514/)\n-   [86556 Tsaile45](/wildfire-risk/zip/86556/)\n-   [85936 Saint Johns44](/wildfire-risk/zip/85936/)\n-   [86504 Sawmill44](/wildfire-risk/zip/86504/)\n-   [86505 Cornfields44](/wildfire-risk/zip/86505/)\n-   [86515 Window Rock43](/wildfire-risk/zip/86515/)\n-   [86503 Chinle43](/wildfire-risk/zip/86503/)\n-   [86508 Lupton40](/wildfire-risk/zip/86508/)\n-   [86511 Saint Michaels40](/wildfire-risk/zip/86511/)\n-   [86520 Cottonwood40](/wildfire-risk/zip/86520/)\n-   [86544 Cove39](/wildfire-risk/zip/86544/)\n-   [86547 Round Rock39](/wildfire-risk/zip/86547/)\n-   [86507 Lukachukai37](/wildfire-risk/zip/86507/)\n\n**No sampled point inside** 21 ZIPs\n\n[84512 Mexican Water](/wildfire-risk/zip/84512/) · [85533](/wildfire-risk/zip/85533/) · [85901](/wildfire-risk/zip/85901/) · [85912](/wildfire-risk/zip/85912/) · [85922 Alpine](/wildfire-risk/zip/85922/) · [85929](/wildfire-risk/zip/85929/) · [85935](/wildfire-risk/zip/85935/) · [85937](/wildfire-risk/zip/85937/) · [85941](/wildfire-risk/zip/85941/) · [86025](/wildfire-risk/zip/86025/) · [86028 Chambers](/wildfire-risk/zip/86028/) · [86033](/wildfire-risk/zip/86033/) · [86510 Cottonwood](/wildfire-risk/zip/86510/) · [87319 Hunters Point](/wildfire-risk/zip/87319/) · [87326 Lupton](/wildfire-risk/zip/87326/) · [87327](/wildfire-risk/zip/87327/) · [87328 Sawmill](/wildfire-risk/zip/87328/) · [87420 Red Rock](/wildfire-risk/zip/87420/) · [87455 Wheatfields](/wildfire-risk/zip/87455/) · [87824 Alpine](/wildfire-risk/zip/87824/) · [87829](/wildfire-risk/zip/87829/)\n\nGrouped from 30 of 51 ZIP areas — the rest had no sample point fall inside them. The community shown is the nearest mapped place to the ZIP's centre.\n\nZIP areas are Census 2020 ZIP Code Tabulation Areas intersecting the county boundary.\n\nWhere to go next\n\n## Apache County wildfire risk _in context_\n\n[Arizona wildfire risk The statewide picture and every county page we publish](/wildfire-risk/arizona/) [Wildfire risk by state Every state and county we cover](/wildfire-risk/) [How Satelife calculates wildfire risk Data sources, layers, score composition, honest limits](/wildfire-risk/methodology/) [Create a wildfire evacuation plan Zones, egress routes, refuge areas](/wildfire-evacuation-plan/) [Run a report for a Apache County address PDF + score + mitigation plan](/#cta)\n\nFAQ\n\n## Frequently asked questions about _Apache County wildfire risk_\n\nWhat is the largest fire listed for Apache County?\n\nWallow (2011) is the largest listed fire, at 538,052 acres.\n\nWhat is the most recent large fire listed?\n\nGreer (2025) is the most recent large fire listed, at 20,308 acres.\n\nWas fire weather measured across Apache County here?\n\nNo. Fire weather was not measured at all on this page for Apache County.\n\nHow much of Apache County has burned since 1984?\n\n8.8% of the county has burned since 1984, totaling 629,096 acres across 127 recorded fire perimeters.\n\nAre FEMA ratings local to each town?\n\nNo. FEMA’s National Risk Index ratings shown here apply to Apache County as a whole, not to individual towns or neighborhoods.\n\nThis page is generated from a Apache County data pack assembled on 2026-09-05 (pack v1.0). Scores are sampled across the county, not measured at any individual address, and are informational decision support — not a substitute for official evacuation orders, a fire-agency hazard determination, or an insurer's underwriting judgement. Data versions: fema\\_nri 1.20.0 (Dec 2025) · landfire per adapter · nifc\\_history All Years View · wfigs current · wrc v2.0 (2024) · zcta Census 2020.\n\n## What does _your parcel_ look like, layer by layer?\n\nA county range shows the spread. An address-level Satelife report shows where in that spread your property actually sits — PDF, per-layer score, and a prioritized mitigation plan.\n\n[Start with your address →](/#cta)\n\n[![PRR](/images/prr.png)](/ficha-de-website-voucher-satelife.pdf)\n\n© 2024–2026 Satelife, Lda. All rights reserved.\n\nSatelife reports are for informational purposes only and do not constitute insurance, financial, or legal advice."
}